ATP US Open 2010 Betting – Robredo, Becker in Tuesday Action

Flushing Meadows, New York – Tommy Robredo, Benjamin Becker and Pere Riba are just several players getting set to get their 2010 US Open campaigns underway today. BetOnline Sportsbook has all the US Open action on the day’s card currently available so without too much ado, let’s breakdown this trio’s chances.

Tennis Betting Line:

Pere Riba  +7½  -130   +400   31½  O -130   U -110  
Adrian Mannarino  -7½  -110   -700   31½  O -130   U -110  

Match Time: 02:30 PM Eastern Time (11:30 AM Pacific Time) Tuesday August 31, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: This matchup is a tossup in just about every way yet the bookies strongly favour Adrian Mannarino, a player that ranks outside the top 100 (No.152) and that hasn’t won a single ATP match this season (0-1 win/loss to date). Am I alone in believing this is rather curious. I suppose the advantage comes from having played qualifying matches to get to the first round. That fact makes him match warm. Still, Riba, who ranks in the top 80 and has seen into ATP action more than Mannarino this season has a slight edge in experience. Whichever way you slice this affair, there is value on both sides. If I were playing with house money, I would take Riba. But that’s just me.

Tennis Free Picks: Riba in four sets

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Tennis Betting Line:

Tommy Robredo -6½  -120   -500   36½  O -115   U -125  
Lukas Rosol  +6½  -120   +300   36½  O -115   U -125  

Match Time: 02:30 PM Eastern Time (11:30 AM Pacific Time) Tuesday August 31, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: Tommy Robredo is in an awful slump this season, arriving in New York with a 14-18 mark on the term. On the back of his poor account this season, he has also slipped down to No.41. Yet he is a strong favourite at -500 to win his opening match and that is down to experience. No matter how much he’s been struggling this year, you can’t discount all that experience the 28-year-old Spaniard has behind him. Robredo takes on an unheralded Lukas Rosol in the first round. The 25-year-old Czech hasn’t won a single ATP match this season (he’s played to a 0-1 mark to date). A win by the Czech would be an upset indeed.

Tennis Free Picks: Robredo in four sets

Tennis Betting Line:

Benjamin Becker  -4  -115   -220   39½  O -135   U -105  
Daniel Brands  +4  -125   +170 39½  O -135   U -105  

Match Time: 02:30 PM Eastern Time (11:30 AM Pacific Time) Tuesday August 31, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: Benjamin Becker, 29, goes into his first round clash against compatriot Daniel Brands as the firm -220 favourite. It will be the first career meeting between the pair. Benjamin Becker has put in more mileage on the ATP Tour this season than his opposite; however, he is an underwhelming 21-24 ahead of their clash. Brands, on the other hand, has played to 7-13 mark.  All things considered, Becker is the better bet but given the national twist to this matchup, anything is possible. Certainly, I expect it will be a slugfest.

Tennis Free Picks: Becker in five sets

US Open 2010 Betting – Sharapova vs. Groth

Flushing Meadows, New York – The feature women’s match on the day’s card is the clash between two big hitters, Maria Sharapova and Jarmila Groth. Big babe tennis should make up for the underbelly of this clash and Shaza, a dark horse pick to win the 2010 US Open title with many a pundit, will be put to the test right of the bat. Her merit as a dangerous floater tested at the same time.

BetOnline has several interesting odds and lines on this clash so here is the breakdown of all the action currently trading.

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Tennis Betting Line:

Jarmila Groth +6  -140   +600   18½  O -145   U +105  
Maria Sharapova  -6  Ev   -1200  18½  O -145   U +105

First Set Line: Jarmila Groth     +400        Maria Sharapova     -700

Set Betting:

Jarmila Groth to win 2 – 0      +1000   
Jarmila Groth to win 2 – 1      +1200  
Maria Sharapova to win 2 – 0      -350  
Maria Sharapova to win 2 – 1      +325 
Match Time: 03:00 PM Eastern Time (12:00 Noon Pacific Time) Tuesday August 31, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: Maria Sharapova is finally looking like her old self. Her serve is finally clicking and the way she’s been playing conjures images of her glory days past, branded by fierce competitive spirit and unshakeable confidence.  

Sharapova is 29-8 on the term with two titles. She won in Memphis and Strasbourg earlier this season. She also finished runner-up in Birmingham, Stanford and Cincinnati. The latter two results, the most important as they were part of her US Open 2010 warm-up.

Sharapova enters her clash against Jarmila Groth as the -1200 favourite. She is a strong favourite to win in straight sets at -350. A three setter is listed at +325 to Sharapova.

Groth is one of the big-hitters in the women’s game. She has had some noteworthy results this term, namely a quarterfinal appearance at the French Open and a R16 at Wimbledon. She is certainly no wallflower.

However, at +600 to win, you get a sense of the magnitude of such a win. To put a finer point on it, it would be an upset.  Huge upset.

Tennis Free Picks: Sharapova in three sets

US Open 2010 Prop Betting – Murray, Nadal, Nalbandian

New York, USA – Over and above the standard markets on each and every matchup at the 2010 US Open, BetOnline Sportsbook has rolled out a smorgasbord of prop bets – more specifically, set betting markets.

Here is a choice selection of the set betting markets available. For a full menu, click here.

Murray vs. Lacko

Set Betting Lines:

Andy Murray to win 3 – 0      -450  
Andy Murray to win 3 – 1      +300  
Andy Murray to win 3 – 2      +1000  

Lukas Lacko to win 3 – 0      +4500  
Lukas Lacko to win 3 – 1      +3500  
Lukas Lacko to win 3 – 2      +2500

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Tennis Betting Verdict: The favoured outcome is a straight set win by Andy Murray trading at -450 and most are likely to pound those odds.

Lacko is a tricky player and I think most would agree he is good enough to take at least a set off Murray, which is listed at +300.

For my part, I like the notion of the upset in this match. I recognize it is a stretch and I don’t believe it would happen in straight sets, which is listed at +4500 to Lacko; however, +2500 to Lacko to win a five setter I think is worth a small wager.

Nalbandian vs. R De Voest

David Nalbandian to win 3 – 0      -350  
David Nalbandian to win 3 – 1      +275  
David Nalbandian to win 3 – 2      +1000  
Rik De Voest to win 3 – 0      +4500  
Rik De Voest to win 3 – 1      +3000  
Rik De Voest to win 3 – 2      +2500 

Tennis Betting Verdict: Nalbandian put in a convincing deposit during the summer hard court series that he is considered a dangerous floater in the top half of the draw, the same section as Murray and Nadal.

Nalbandian begins his campaign against de Voest and he is best priced to win in straight sets at -350. I happen to think that Nalbandian is essentially a momentum player and it isn’t unlike him to check out mentally in a match. As such, I happen to believe Nalbandian to win in four sets is the better bet at +275.

Nadal vs. Gabashvili

Rafael Nadal to win 3 – 0      -600  
Rafael Nadal to win 3 – 1      +375  
Rafael Nadal to win 3 – 2      +1200  
Teimuraz Gabashvili to win 3 – 0      +6000  
Teimuraz Gabashvili to win 3 – 1      +4500  
Teimuraz Gabashvili to win 3 – 2      +4500 

Tennis Betting Verdict: Many believe this year is Nadal’s best chance to win the US Open. How his campaign begins will be closely followed. The ideal and most popular scenario is for Nadal to get off the ground quickly and win in straights, trading at -600. A four setter is possible considering this surface gives Nadal the most trouble, listed at +375. But if you ask me, I fancy the more efficient option.

US Open Betting Tips – Istomin and Blake in First Round

Flushing Meadows, New York – Tuesday’s tennis betting card features Denis Istomin and James Blake in first round action at the US Open. Istomin – if you haven’t noticed him yet then start paying attention to him – starts his campaign against Maximo Gonzalez while American James Blake, who’s fallen on hard times recently, takes on veteran Kristof Vliegen.

BetOnline markets are jam-packed with all the tennis betting imaginable on the 2010 US Open.

Tennis Betting Line:

Kristof Vliegen  +4½  -130   +200   37½  O -145   U +105  
James Blake  -4½  -110   -300   37½  O -145   U +105  

Match Time: 04:00 PM Eastern Time (01:00 PM Pacific Time) Tuesday August 31, 2010

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Tennis Betting Verdict:  James Blake was honoured last night at Arthur Ashe stadium for being a model athlete and an inspiration to all, along with Martina Navratilova and several others. Today he begins his US Open bid and it’s time he find some inspiration within methinks, because his game has been uninspiring, to say the least, lately.

The American is struggling something awful. He’s played to an underwhelming 11-14 mark and conspicuously, he’s been unable to get any sort of match-winning streak going. All this doesn’t augur well for him here.

Blake takes on veteran Kristof Vliegen of Belgium. Discouragingly, Blake has never beaten the 28-year-old Belgian although it has been four years since they last crossed paths. Encouraging, well for Blake at least, is the fact that the Belgian is in worse shape with a 1-8 mark on the term. Blake has to be able to take the Belgian out given the fact that he’s barely been able to buy a win this season.

Tennis Free Picks: Blake in four sets

Tennis Betting Line:

Maximo Gonzalez +7½  -125   +450   33  O -135   U -105  
Denis Istomin  -7½  -115   -900 33  O -135   U -105  

Match Time: 04:00 PM Eastern Time (01:00 PM Pacific Time) Tuesday August 31, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: Denis Istomin is a player on the move. The Uzbek is up to a career high ranking on No.39, a breakthrough he achieved just this week after finishing runner-up at Pilot Pen on Sunday.

Istomin has some impressive wins on his CV this season, including wins over household names such as Viktor Troicki, Nicolas Almagro, Stanislas Wawrinka, Tommy Haas and Philipp Kohlschreiber. Importantly, these wins have come on all different surfaces.

Istomin is emerging as quite the all-surface player. His runner-up finish at Pilot Pen is full of positives even though he leaves without the silverware.  He is poised for a good turnout at the US Open, in my humble opinion. He has a relatively straightforward opening match to contend with which augurs well for him.

Tennis Free Picks: Istomin in three sets

US Open 2010 Betting Match Preview – Nalbandian vs. De Voest

New York, USA – David Nalbandian is on the tennis betting books today as he gets his campaign underway against Rik de Voest in the first round. The way Nalbandian has conducted himself (for the most part) during the US Open Series makes this match an almost straightforward affair to predict: Nalbandian to win, hands down.

In fact, his impressive runs include Washington, where he won the title; a quarterfinal appearance at the subsequent Toronto Masters; a R16 appearance at the Cincinnati Masters. That he’s factored at all these events allows him to be considered a legitimate threat at the US Open and many are wondering whether indeed he will make good on this charge.

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Tennis Betting Line:

David Nalbandian -9 +105 -3000 28½ O -125 U -115

Rik De Voest +9 -145 +1000 28½ O -125 U -115

First Set Line: David Nalbandian -1000 Rik De Voest +500

Match Time: 05:30 PM Eastern Time (02:30 Pacific Time) Tuesday August 31, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: Nalbandian is a massive favourite to win outright and to do so in convincing fashion. Nalbandian is a hot favourite to take the first set at -1000 and in prop markets, more specifically where set betting is concerned, he is listed a hot -350 favourite to win in straight sets.

Given how strongly Nalbandian is favoured in every market –from the outright win market to the performance markets, you have to believe he is the better bet.

If there were a charge against Nalbandian, it’s that he can be streaky from tournament-to-tournament, match-to-match, and even on occasion, from set-to-set and game-to-game. He is prone to inexplicable momentum swings that could see him playing lights-out-tennis one minute and totally average tennis the next.

The real question is whether his opposite is a credible threat to him and the answer is a resounding, no. Not on paper at least. De Voest ranks outside the top 100 and he’s no spring chicken at 30. Moreover, lifetime, he has coasted under the radar in the Challenger circuits, a level below the ATP Tour.

A win over Nalbandian would be tantamount to the best thing he’s ever done in his career. Something, that I can’t see happening. That said, I can see Nalbandian perhaps losing his way for a set and therefore this match could go to four sets, maximum.

Tennis Free Picks: Nalbandian in four sets

Check this and other tennis lines at Betus.com

US Open Betting Tips – Rafael Nadal vs. Teymuraz Gabashvili

Flushing Meadows, New York – Perhaps the most anticipated match of the day is the Nadal vs. Gabashvili clash that’s just a mere few hours from hitting Arthur Ashe Stadium, scheduled to take to court after the conclusion of the attention-worthy encounter between Sharapova vs. Groth.

Nadal’s debut is what most tennis bettors are waiting for today and not just because he’ll be kitted out in an all-black ensemble (I have this on a credible source: ESPN), very Darth Vadar like but because he has been pegged by many as the potential 2010 US Open champion. How he gets his bid started is going to signal whether this prediction has any weight.

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Nadal doesn’t have an easy opening match. On paper, it does look like it might be though given the wide gulf that exists between the pair in terms of ranking, credentials and the sort.

The reason why Gabashvili looms slightly threatening is that he’s flush off a quarterfinal run at New Haven, wherein he emerged from the qualifiers to reach the final eight wherein he lost to the eventual runner-up Denis Istomin.

Lifetime, Nadal takes a 2-0 head-to-head edge over Gabashvili. Importantly, the Spaniard has won all sets played including two sets on hard courts in Miami.

Tennis Betting Line:

Rafael Nadal -9½ +105 -5000 28½ O -110 U -130

Teymuraz Gabashvili +9½ -145 + 1200 28½ O -110 U -130

First Set Line: Rafael Nadal -2000 Teymuraz Gabashvili +800

Match Time: 07: 15 PM Eastern Time (04:15 PM Pacific Time) Tuesday August 31, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: Nadal is expected to make a strong start to his US Open bid. He is listed as the whopping -5000 favourite, an untouchable price. He is equally outrageously priced to take the first set at -2000.

Set betting markets list Nadal similarly firm – the hot favourite to put in a commanding performance. To win in three sets he is priced at -600. By contrast, dropping a set or two yet still winning is listed large at +275 and +1000.

Tennis bettors can correctly assume Gabashvili is the long shot bet, the no-hoper. Priced as he is at +1200 to win outright and at +800 to take the first set – and I won’t get started on his set betting prices – really doesn’t inspire much confidence. Should he accomplish the unthinkable it would be the biggest upset of the tournament. No the season!

Tennis Free Picks: Nadal in straight sets

Fighting Irish to Come Out on Top vs UCLA – NCAA Football Props

Two of college football’s former powerhouses that are trying to regain their stature as the top programs in the country are pitted against each other at BetOnline Sportsbook. Both the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and UCLA Bruins have reason to believe that this is the year they can get back on the map, but one clearly has a better chance than the other. Find out who that is with this look at the NCAA football props.

NCAA Football Odds

UCLA Bruins +120
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -150

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There is a legitimate possibility that this bet is going to end up just being a push in the long run, because both may end up with no votes. However, how to make this bet is very, very simple.

UCLA isn’t finishing the year with any votes – Period!

The Bruins have far too many problems at quarterback and at line depth to try to contend with the best in the Pac-10. The only reason the team snuck into the Eagle Bank Bowl a year ago was because the Army Black Knights lost their final game of the season against their traditional rivals, the Navy Midshipmen.

UCLA had a woeful offense in ‘09 that averaged just 22.0 points and 337.4 yards per game. Kevin Prince is back after throwing for just 2,050 yards and eight scores a year ago. Obviously, production like that isn’t going to cut it again in 2010.

Line play was a problem on both sides of the ball as well, and the lack of depth and accruing injuries on this team are starting to add up quickly.

On top of that, it is pretty clear that UCLA’s Athletic Director should be fired for putting together this type of a schedule. As a Pac-10 team, you only end up getting three games out of conference to put on your slate.

This year, the Bruins guaranteed themselves a certain defeat at Texas and two very difficult games at home against Houston and at Kansas State to start the year. Remember, this is a team that went just 3-6 last year in the Pac-10. Yes, there are only four road games on the conference slate this year, but there are far too many probable losses on here for UCLA to ultimately be considered for the Top 25 at the end of the season.

That said; Notre Dame has a lot of promise coming into this year and simply can’t be any worse than the Bruins are. The Irish might miss Jimmy Clausen and a few others, but if nothing else, they should be adding by bringing in Brian Kelly to replace the suddenly hated Charlie Weis.

Whereas UCLA has to contend with the best in the Pac-10, Notre Dame has seemingly certain victories coming against Purdue, Western Michigan, and Army if nothing else.

Notre Dame is clearly the way to go in this NCAA football prop bet.

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BCS Championship Futures – Betting on Champions

Do you like the Nick Saban’s Alabama Crimson Tide to win the SEC title en route to making a second consecutive appearance in the BCS National Championship game?

Maybe you’re thinking the nation’s second-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes will cruise to a Big Ten conference crown while putting themselves in position to win their second championship of the BCS era?

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Well, if you like either of these teams to win their respective conference championships college football bettors, then you’re in luck, thanks to the bettor-friendly NCAA Conference Championship Futures Odds at BetOnline.

That right NCAAF gamblers, the BetOnline Football Sportsbook is the best place in the online sports wagering industry to place a value-packed NCAAF Conference Championship Futures wager that could literally boost your annual NCAAF betting bankroll beyond your wildest dreams.

College football betting enthusiasts everywhere can back the Crimson Tide at a solid -105 to win the SEC or play the Big Ten-favorite Buckeyes to win their conference at a solid -250.

Of course, several other BCS title contenders are offering NCAAF bettors excellent odds to win their own respective conferences.

The nation’s third-ranked collegiate team in both, the AP and USA Today polls – the Boise State Broncos – are overwhelming favorites (locks) at -4000 to win their eighth consecutive Western Athletic Conference title (WAC) while challenging for a national title for the third time since 2006.

The Broncos should have a sizable chip on their collective shoulders after getting robbed out of a shot at the national title despite going 14-0 last season.

The seventh-ranked Oklahoma Sooners (+125) and fifth-ranked Texas Longhorns (+200) are close favorites to win the Big 12 despite the Longhorns’ loss of outstanding quarterback Colt McCoy to the NFL following his senior season.

No. 15 Pittsburgh, No. 25 West Virginia and UConn are all co-favorites to win the Big East with all three sitting at a value-packed +250, while No. 11 Oregon sits atop the Pac-10 Conference Championship futures odds at +150 and are followed by No. 24 Oregon State and Washington, both sitting at an identical +350.

Now, for college football gamblers that love long shots with legitimate chances to win their respective conferences – and are offering bettors a bigger payout should they pull off their respective feats – then the fourth-ranked Florida Gators are a team you may want to back in the SEC.

Urban Meyer’s squad is a +250 pick and should have a legitimate chance to win their conference despite losing beloved quarterback Tim Tebow to graduation.

In the Big Ten, legitimate title contenders exist in the Iowa Hawkeyes and Wisconsin Badgers are both offering backers an identical +350 return should they beat out Ohio State for the conference, while Joe Paterno’s Penn State Nittany Lions are a fantastic ‘sleeper’ pick at a whopping +650.

In the ACC, the Miami Hurricanes may be favored to win their conference, but the Florida State Seminoles (+275) and Virginia Tech Hokies (+300) will definitely have a chance to walk away with their conference title while spitting out a bigger payday than the favored Hurricanes.

No matter which teams you like to win their respective college football conferences this coming season, there is no better place to lay your college football Championship Futures wager than at BetOnline.com.

College Football Betting Update – Heisman Winner Ingram Out Week 1

The Alabama Crimson Tide will have to begin their BCS title defense without star running back Mark Ingram. After suffering an injury during Monday’s practice, Ingram underwent arthroscopic knee surgery and will be shelved for the season opener. Thank goodness the Tide are matched up against San Jose State in Week 1 of college football betting.

The problem for Alabama, and Ingram, is that they don’t know how long it will take for him to recover. I wouldn’t worry too much though. Ingram is still young, and is a superb athlete who will recover quickly. He finished last season with 1,658 yards and 17 touchdowns, beating Tim Tebow and Colt McCoy for the coveted Heisman Trophy.

Speaking of which, Ingram’s absence in any game this season will severely impact the tight race expected for the 2010 Heisman Trophy where Ingram leads all players at +400. He’s followed closely by quarterback studs Terrelle Pryor or Ohio State and Jake Locker of Washington.

Things don’t get much easier for Alabama after their season opener against San Jose State. They’ll host 19th ranked Penn State in Week 2 of college football betting. After that they face unranked Duke and 17th ranked Arkansas.

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After that, they will undoubtedly need Ingram because they face SEC rivals Florida, ranked fourth overall, and then pay a visit to the pesky South Carolina Gamecocks who are typically marvelous on their own field. Ingram pummeled South Carolina last year with 246 yards and a touchdown, while notching 113 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Gators in the SEC Championship game.

The issue is that Alabama can’t withstand any slip ups. The only reason they even won a bid to the BCS Championship game is because they were undefeated. Any loss early on in the season, coupled with undefeated streaks by the other top-ranked schools in college football betting, will lead to a tough, uphill climb for Saban’s crew.

The good thing is that Alabama will have be pressed hard by the other top-5 teams in the NCAA Football Rankings. The AP Top 25 is cluttered with Alabama, Ohio State, Boise State, Florida and Texas in the first five slots. It takes quite a bit to knock the top dog of the mountain, but any Week 1 loss in college football betting could murder the Tide moving forward.

Sophomore Trent Richardson moves in to the top spot on the depth chart at running-back for Saban while Ingram rehabs from knee surgery. In 2009, as a freshman, Richardson ran for 751 yards on 145 attempts, posting 8 touchdowns and zero fumbles. He also added 16 catches for 126 yards.

San Jose State shouldn’t prove too much of a challenge for Alabama with or without Ingram. They went just 2-10 SU last year, beating out Cal Poly and New Mexico State in a rousing upset.

Ingram better be a quick healer because his knee isn’t the only piece of work taking damage. Alabama’s value in college football betting has taken a hit too.

Bet on Alabama and all your favorite college football betting teams to win the BCS Championship!

NCAA Football Props Favor FSU Over Clemson Tigers

Year after year, the Florida State Seminoles are considered a team that can contend for the National Championship, but year after year, they fail and fail miserably. Today, we are going to analyze the NCAA football props for FSU against the Clemson Tigers in the final USA Today poll.

NCAA Football Odds
Clemson Tigers +125
Florida State Seminoles -165

Clemson and Florida State play virtually the same conference schedule this year. The Seminoles are going to dodge both the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and the Virginia Tech Hokies on the schedule, arguably the two best teams in the ACC Coastal Division. The Tigers don’t have to contend with V-Tech and the Duke Blue Devils.

Immediately right there, Florida State has a huge advantage. We’ll also take into consideration the fact that these two teams play each other at Doak Campbell Stadium this year, a place where Jimbo Fisher is determined to get his Noles back on track after some relatively woeful seasons.

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Out of conference, it is true that Clemson only plays two games of any note (@ Auburn, vs. South Carolina) while Florida State has three (@ Oklahoma, BYU, Florida), but that is also going to give the Seminoles more chances to impress the pollsters. Save for the date with Florida, the other rough games on this schedule all appear to be at the beginning of the season for FSU.

The Clemson Tigers might have some issues trying to replace their entire running game from last year, as CJ Spiller is now with the Buffalo Bills. Florida State returns virtually its entire offense from a year ago, including an offensive line that is chock full of third and fourth year starters.

Kyle Parker, the moral leader of Clemson, threatened to leave the school to go play with the Colorado Rockies following the MLB Draft, which might hurt his status with the team. Still, he has a lot of new options to work with offensively that will take some breaking in.

In each of the L/6 seasons, the Tigers have had at least one losing streak of two games or more. Typically, they are forgotten about at that point.

We also have to remember that Florida State Seminoles starts this year out ranked 20th in the nation. No one is expecting it to stick around after the game in Norman, but perhaps a win over BYU the following week would catapult the Noles back into the Top 25, where they might be able to stay for good.

With Bobby Bowden gone and Fisher now in full control, there doesn’t seem to be any sort of turmoil on the sidelines in Tallahassee any longer. If there were ever a year for the garnet and gold to wake up the echoes of histories past and put together an ACC Championship season, this would be the year. The Seminoles will trump Clemson in the final USA Today Poll, though neither team is contending for the National Championship.

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