Nebraska Begins Quest For the Championship As Football Spread Favorites

Nebraska begins their quest for not only a Big 12 Championship but a BCS Championship this Saturday as huge close to -40 NCAAF football spread favorites.

The Cornhuskers are supposed to absolutely wax Western Kentucky this Saturday night in Lincoln and then move on to bigger fish to throw into their suddenly hot frying pan.  That hot frying pan is bubbling with expectations that the rabid fans at Lincoln are putting on themselves.

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Coach Bo Pellini and this Nebraska team actually welcome the expectations.  They appear to thrive with expectations loaded on their back.  The question for Saturday’s game isn’t whether or not the Cornhuskers are going to win but whether or not they are going to win by such a huge margin that they cover the NCAAF football handicapping spread in the sportsbook.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Where:  Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, Nebraska

When:  September 4th, 2010 at 7:00 pm EST

TV:  TBD

NCAAF Betting Lines

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers           +37 ½  -110                O 51 ½  -110

Nebraska Cornhuskers                        -37 ½  -110                 U 51 ½  -110

The trends favor Nebraska in this game.

• The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 4 and 0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team from the Sun Belt Conference.

• The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 6 and 0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

• The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 4 and 0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

• The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 4 and 0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

 

The college football prediction from the odds makers has Nebraska winning this game by at least 38 points. That’s a huge, massive number that the Cornhuskers are going to have to come up with.

Yes, Nebraska returns 7 starters on defense.  Yes, the Cornhuskers return their starting QB, Zac Lee, as well as their best RB and WR from 2009.  The Cornhuskers are loaded, no doubt, but loaded doesn’t always translate to victories against the football spread and it’s not like the Hilltoppers are a high school team.

They return Kawaun Jakes at quarterback.  Jakes started 8 of 9 games last season.  They also break in a new coach in Willie Taggart who was last seen developing RB Toby Gerhart at Stanford.  Taggart has instituted a West Coast Offense and that should help.

The Hilltoppers’ D won’t be very good, but Nebraska’s offense isn’t built to put up a ton of points, but it did very well against weak non-conference opponents last season and QB Taylor Martinez, who figures to get a lot of snaps on Saturday, is supposed to be a Terrelle Pryor-type player.
 
If that’s the case, then the Cornhuskers should definitely cover the spread.  I want to make a case for Western Kentucky but I really can’t.  Nebraska is too good on defense, I doubt the Hilltoppers score a single point, and the Cornhuskers’ offense should be more explosive.  The more explosive offense is one of the reasons why Nebraska is one of the better football game spread predictions to cover this Saturday.

Nebraska beat Florida Atlantic 49 to 3 in their first game last season.  They should be able to beat the Hilltoppers by at least that many points, 46, and possibly upwards of 50 points on Saturday.  Nebraska should cover the spread. 
 

NCAAF Betting Pick:  Nebraska Cornhuskers -37 ½ -110

Check out more college football spread picks in the sportsbook.

Sources:  espn.com, usatoday.com   

College Football Lines – Oklahoma’s Jones Takes Reins for Full Season

Customers who bet the college football betting odds were generally impressed by what they saw out of Oklahoma quarterback Landry Jones last year, and now they get a chance to see him take the reins for a full season after the departure of Sam Bradford.

His Sooners are at home on Saturday to open the year against the Aggies of Utah State, before meeting up with Florida State next week.

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On Saturday Oklahoma is a 33.5-point favorite in the college football lines, with a total of 57.5 points posted.

Utah State Aggies at Oklahoma Sooners

Live at Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK

Saturday, September 4 — 7 PM ET

TV: Pay-Per-View

College Football Lines:

Oklahoma -33.5

Utah State +33.5

Total 57.5

There are some people who believe Oklahoma is going to be a genuine national championship contender. This, after losing the top choice in the draft (Sam Bradford) as well as the guy who was chosen with the #3 pick (Gerald McCoy).

When you take a look at the college football lines to win the national championship, the Sooners are priced at +700, which means they’re right there in the hunt. No one can doubt that this team recruits well, and the program just had a hiccup last year when they lost Bradford in the early-season loss to BYU.

But to demonstrate that there is always a steady stream of talent flowing into Norman, the Sooners inserted freshman Landry Jones, and he responded 26 touchdown passes and 3198 yards.

He’s got superb wide receiver coming back in Ryan Broyles, who caught 15 TD passes last year, and one of the steadier running backs in the Big 12 in Demarco Murray, who has actually been put on a few pre-season All-American teams.

College football lines that gauge possible supremacy in each conference have Oklahoma at -125 to win the Big 12 South, while Texas, which played in the national title game last year, is +125.

Here are some of the NCAAF Trends as they impact our football betting prediction on this game:

• Utah State has lost 17 of its last 24 games SU
• Utah State has played six of its last nine road games OVER the total
• Utah State has lost 12 of its last 13 road games SU
• Oklahoma is 3-6-1 ATS in its last ten games
• Oklahoma has won 18 of its last 25 games SU
• Oklahoma has played eight of its last 11 games UNDER the total

Oklahoma allowed 2.8 yards a rush last year and lost McCoy from the defensive front. Does that mean they may be a little soft? Perhaps, but the question in this particular game is do the Aggies of Utah State have what it takes to exploit it?

Gary Andersen took over as head coach last year after a successful tenure as Utah’s defensive coordinator and tried to make this team a little tougher, both mentally and physically.

The result was four wins, more than they had in any of their previous six campaigns, and a strong record of 8-4 against the college football lines, which actually brings the three-year tally up to 23-12 ATS. Certainly this is a clue that oddsmakers are a little too generous to this team, as bad as they may have been.

Andersen’s defense needs work; no question about it (5.3 ypc allowed last year).

But he has had to replace only one member of the front seven and is getting some help from the junior college ranks. he also got much more efficient play out of quarterback Diondre Borel, who threw 17 TD’s against only four interceptions, and has a legitimate running back to help him move the chains in Robert Turbin, who rambled for 1296 yards and 6.3 yards a carry.

Utah State is, of course, a longshot in the college football lines to win the WAC (150/1, in fact), but they could be competitive with everyone in that conference except for Boise State.

USU is catching 33.5 points in the college football lines, but Boise State was the only team that beat them by more than 18 points last year. Andersen’s team will not quit, even though they are out-manned. Remember this about Oklahoma – they have a date next week with Florida State and Christian Ponder, so I would not be expecting them to show the whole playbook defensively.

I don’t mind grabbing some points here with a program that should be on the rise under conscientious coach, so it’s Utah State in the college football lines this week, as we render our football betting prediction.

JAY’S PLAY: UTAH STATE +33.5 **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

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College Football Line – Arkansas Hopes to Scare Auburn

Those playing the college football line on Saturday may take a glance at the Sun Belt, where Arkansas State, which threw a scare into a very good Iowa team last year, will take the field as a big underdog against the Auburn Tigers in the opener for both teams. The game, which will be played at Jordan-Hare Stadium (natural turf) in Auburn, AL, starts at 7 PM ET. The college football line for this contest has the Tigers favored by a whopping 31.5 points, with the total posted at 57.5 points. Auburn brings aboard a new quarterback, Cameron Newton, who many observers are excited about.

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Arkansas State Red Wolves at Auburn Tigers
Live at Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Saturday, September 4 — 7 PM ET
TV: Fox Sports Net South

College Football Betting Line:
Auburn -31.5
Arkansas State +31.5
Total 57.5

There was a lot of turmoil in the Auburn program in the last year of Tommy Tuberville’s reign, and the hiring, then firing, of offensive coordinator Tony Franklin (now at Louisiana Tech) was just a part of it. Last year, in the first season under Gene Chizik, the Tigers were 8-5 SU and 6-6 against the college football line, and that came after a 2-9 ATS record the year before. Chris Todd, the guy Franklin was trying to get to perform for him, threw 22 TD passes and only six interceptions, but now he’s departed. The new quarterback is Cameron Newton, a 6’6", 250-pounder who started his career at Florida, then went to junior college for a year, and though raw, has potential. Ben Tate is gone from the running game, which means this team will have to make do with Mario Fannin and Ontario McCalebb, who had 148 yards rushing in last year’s opener against Louisiana Tech. Big-play receiver Terrell Zachery (18.3 yards per catch) has to be respected. On the college football line, Auburn is priced at +500 to win the SEC West, which includes Alabama.

Here are some of the trends as they impact our football betting prediction on this game:

• Arkansas State has lost eight of its last 11 games SU
• Arkansas State is 0-6 ATS in its last six games
• Arkansas State has played six of its last eight games UNDER the total
• Arkansas State is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games
• Arkansas State has played four of its last five road games UNDER the total
• Arkansas State has lost seven of its last eight road games SU
• Auburn has won seven of its last nine home games SU

Steve Roberts is in his ninth year as coach at Arkansas State, and he has a squad that regularly plays below expectations. The Red Wolves (do we really have to say that?) have dropped their last six decisions to the college football line, and have covered just three games in the last 19. This does not inspire us. BUT, some of those covers have been genuine surprises. Last year ASU played Iowa right down to the end before losing a 24-21 verdict, and scored a win over Texas A&M in 2008. Ryan Aplin, who missed spring practice with an injury but completed 65% last year, won the QB job over redshirt freshman Phillip Butterfield in fall practice, and there is a new no-huddle offense in place.

Yes, there are some things going against Arkansas State here – their lousy pointspread record, their lack of size on defense, and the fact that this is their only game on grass are not in their favor. But Auburn has a short week before starting its conference schedule against Mississippi State, and we are not sure this defense is vastly improved, or that Newton is refined enough as a passer yet. It’s a lot of points, and we’ll take them with ASU, getting 31.5 on the college football line, in our football betting prediction for Saturday.

JAY’S PLAY: ARKANSAS STATE +31.5 **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

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College Football Lines – Defending Champ Alabama Opens Against San Jose St.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off of a title which has heightened expectations even more for one of the sport’s flagship programs, but can they avoid a letdown against San Jose State at home in week one in a game they are favored to dominate by the college football lines?

Keep in mind that for Alabama, even a 20-point win or so would be considered a letdown against the Spartans, who are one of the easiest FBS opponents historically for teams to play in the early season and have been since the institute of the BCS system.

The absence of Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram at running back seems to give SJSU some hope, but do they really have a chance to keep this game close?

San Jose State at Alabama

7 pm ET, Bryant-Denny Stadium

College Football Lines: Alabama favored by 37 ½.

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Ingram, the superstar power back from Flint, Michigan, is unfortunately backed up by another star-in-waiting in Trent Richardson. Richardson is a typical Alabama back in that he hits the holes hard, runs with authority, and has the ability to punish defenders who aren’t ready to bring it on every single play.

Alabama is known as a running team, but keep in mind that they also have one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the nation in Greg McElroy. He has never lost a college football game in his career and is 30-0 as a starter going back to his high school years.

San Jose State has a passing offense that could make a few big plays happen in this one and keep the college football lines close for a little while, but in the end, Alabama has way too much depth and aggression to let them hang around for very long.

Julio Jones dwarfs most of the SJSU corners and he is good for an easy 2-3 touchdowns in this college football game which will only open the running game up that much more for the Crimson Tide.

The line may be big but Alabama is easily the smartest bet in this game on Saturday.

College football lines pick: Alabama (-37 ½).

College Football Betting – LSU vs. North Carolina

The 18th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels will be without twelve players (due to school and NCAA violations) in their 2010 college football betting season opening game against the 21st ranked LSU Tigers.

LSU Tigers (#21) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (#18)
Live from the Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Kickoff: Saturday, Sept. 4 at 8:00pm EST
TV: ABC

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College Football Betting Odds:
North Carolina +7.5
LSU -7.5
Total 43.5

Huge offseason troubles could spoil a season for the Tar Heels in which they have all the tools to win the ACC conference championship.

North Carolina will be without three starters on defense, safety Deunta Williams and linebackers Quan Sturdivant and Bruce Carter.

Standout running backs Shaun Draughns and Ryan Houston will be sidelined as well for the game against LSU, making it difficult for the Tar Heels to generate offense rushing the ball.

To add to the mayhem on North Carolina’s offensive side of the ball, Tar Heels leading wide receiver Greg Little is under investigation for accepting benefits from sports agents.

Little led North Carolina with 62 receptions, 724 yards, and 5 touchdowns last year.

The LSU Tigers, meanwhile, are expecting a lot more from junior quarterback Jordan Jefferson this college football betting season.

Jefferson wasn’t bad in 2009, throwing for 2,166 yards and 17 touchdowns but he will need to improve if LSU wants to have a shot at an SEC conference title.

Offensive weapons like wide receiver Terrence Toliver (caught 53 receptions for 735 yards last year for the Tigers) should help build Jefferson’s confidence.

Marshall Mention: The LSU Tigers are 5-1 against the Tar Heels all-time.

North Carolina will have a tough time without some of their key playmakers and leaders, especially on the road in this college football betting matchup.

Marshall Football Betting Pick: LSU -7.5

For more college football betting odds and tips, go here!

Football Game Odds – Bowling Green vs Troy

BetOnline.com’s analysis of the best football game odds for Saturday continues with this NCAA football betting clash between the Bowling Green Falcons and the Troy Trojans.

Game Date/Time: Saturday, September 4th, 7:00 ET

Game Location: Movie Gallery Veterans Stadium, Troy, AL

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Bowling Green Falcons vs. Troy Trojans

TV/Radio Broadcast: Local TV, Sirius

NCAA Football Odds

Bowling Green Falcons (+14) -110

Troy Trojans (-14) -110

Over/Under 55.5

The Falcons had the fourth ranked passing attack in the nation last year under the direction of Tyler Sheehan. He threw for 339 yards and two scores in the Falcons’ 31-14 upset of the Trojans last season. Fifteen of his 32 completions went to Freddie Barnes, who was one of the best receivers in the nation to boot.

Now, both are gone, and there is a huge question about the quality of athlete that is replacing them. Aaron Pankratz has only thrown 13 passes in his career, and he’ll probably end up having to do more than that in the first quarter alone against these Trojans to lead the Falcons to victory.

Barnes accounted for 155 catches, 1,770 yards, and 19 TDs last year in the passing game, and now no one left has caught more than 46 balls in a single season. Both Chris Wright and Adrian Hodges are experienced enough receivers, while Willie Geter will be asked to carry the ball on the ground.

Levi Brown is gone for Troy as well. Brown was one of the best players that the Trojans have ever had on their roster, and he had a fantastic senior season, throwing for 4,254 yards and 23 TDs against just nine picks.

Dantavious Parker has had just about as much experience as Pankratz has, as he only has 19 career passes to speak of. At least Parker will have a better running game to rely on, as both Shawn Southward and DuJuan Harris are both back and both able to contribute a dozen carries if need be to the offensive effort.

Troy had some major defensive problems last year to work out, and this season appears to be just as difficult. The Trojans allowed at least 30 points six times last year, and without Brown to mask the problems with big offensive efforts, they could be in for a long year if this unit doesn’t improve.

NCAA Football Insider Tip: The ‘under’ has cashed in seven of Bowling Green’s L/10 road games.

One thing that the Falcons have been fantastic at is limiting opposing teams from scoring when they are on the road. That’s why BGSU is 21-8-1 ATS in its L/30 road games.

That being said, both offenses are facing challenges of their own having to replace fantastic starting quarterbacks. The oddsmakers have overhyped the ‘total’ on the football game odds here.

Go with the ‘under’, which has already dropped 2.5 points since the open.

My NCAA Football Predictions: Bowling Green Falcons/Troy Trojans Under 55.5

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Horse Racing Betting – Is Quality Road Unbeatable?

As most horse racing bettors look at the Woodward Stakes, scheduled for approximately 5:48 PM ET at Saratoga on Saturday, they are asking the same question – is Quality Road unbeatable in this race? After all, his credentials are by far the strongest, especially as Mine That Bird appears to have faded. The battle plan for most of the competitors is to see if they can come second. In the Woodward horse racing betting odds, Quality Road is a considerable favorite at -500. Next in line is Convocation at +600.

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Woodward Stakes
Saturday, September 4
Saratoga Race Course
Post Time – 5:48 PM ET

Betting Odds – To Win

1          Convocation                 +600
2          Mine That Bird             +1000
3          Quality Road                -500
4          Arcodoro                      +3000
5          Indian Dance                +2000
6          Tranquil Manner           +1500
7          Mythical Power            +1200

Can anyone in this race possibly beat Quality Road, which is -500 in the Woodward Stakes betting line to win this $750,000 classic? That is hard to say. It doesn’t look that way. In fact, what reporters who have gone around the paddock have mostly heard is some hope on the part of the horsemen that they can finish second.

Why is that the case, especially since there is a Kentucky Derby winner in this field?

Well, for those of you who put some weight on Beyer Speed Figures (and there are many of you), Quality Road has the SEVEN highest Beyer figures in this race. At this particular distance, which is a mile and an eighth, he has run at a 111 figure twice and a monstrous 121 (that being at the Donn Handicap at Gulfstream in February). All of those numbers are higher than anyone else in this field has achieved – at any distance.

Yeah, there’s a chink in the armor – Quality Road was beaten a head last time out against Blame, right there on the Saratoga oval, and at 1-1/8 miles no less. Of course, two thing must be noted there – one is that the horse was giving up five pounds in the race, where he won’t be doing that with anybody here, and two is that there is no one in this field who quite compares with Blame, which at the moment is priced at +600 to win the Breeders Cup Classic in the horse racing future odds.

Trainer Todd Pletcher thinks that if he can find another horse to get out there and set the pace, he’d have an ideal setup for his four-year-old. "He’s fast enough that someone’s going to have to run a little nit to make sure they’re ahead of him," Pletcher told David Grening of the Daily Racing Form. "That would be our Plan A, to follow someone."

Pletcher and Quality Road might have the ideal opponent to accommodate them in Arcodoro, a horse that loves to break fast, and came off the turf to run his best race ever – at this distance – about five weeks ago. Furthermore, his trainer feels he can be competitive. "I came for the dance, not just the music," said Eric Guillot, who conditions the horse, a 30/1 shot in the Woodward betting odds.

Keep in mind that Quality Road has run on the lead in his last two outings – first at Belmont, in the Metropolitan Handicap, where he beat out Musket Man, and then at the Whitney, where he and Blame provided Saratoga spectators with a thrilling finish. A win here would improve Quality Road’s stock with bettors a little, although how much he’ll move off his current number of +600 to win the Classic is not known. Zenyatta, the mare who is undefeated in 18 starts, is the current Breeders Cup Classic betting favorite at +300. Blame and Lookin at Lucky are both at +500.

Inasmuch as Pletcher may get his preferred scenario, we may well see a freight train coming down the stretch on Saturday afternoon. Then it’s on to Churchill Downs!

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Football Picks – Utah State vs Oklahoma

The Oklahoma Sooners will look to avoid the disaster they suffered in their first week of football in 2009. Last season they lost star quarterback Sam Bradford, they lost their opener against 20th ranked BYU and with that their BCS title hopes were dashed. This year there is no threat of losing the game as they open the season against the Utah State Aggies, and the Aggies aren’t any anyone’s football picks to win the BCS.

The College Football odds makers have the Oklahoma Sooners as -33½-point favorites and the game total is set at 58 points. 

NCAAF Betting Odds
September 4, 2010

Utah State Aggies            +33½ -110           
Oklahoma Sooners          -33½ -110

Game Total         58

Location: Oklahoma Memorial Stadium – Norman OK
Game Time: 7:00pm

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The Sooners enter the 2010 season ranked seventh in the polls and Bob Stoops team do their best to put the disappointment of 2009 behind them.  

Freshman Landry Jones had to take over for Bradford after his injury in 2009 and performed better than anyone would have expected. Jones broke Bradford’s school record for passing yards by a freshman with 3198, he also tossed 28 touchdowns and saved his best performance for the Sun Bowl where he threw 418 yards.

Along with Jones, the Sooners will be relying on the legs of DeMarco Murray. Murray rushed for 705 yards and 8 touchdowns last season and is one pace to break the Sooners record for career touchdown record of 57.

The Sooners defense only gave up 14.5 points per game and allowed only 272.6 yards a game last season and it should be much of the same this year.

The Utah State Aggies haven’t beaten a ranked opponent in almost 20 years, a streak of 26 games. Their last win was over 25 ranked San Diego State in 1991. The last time the Aggies and Sooners met, the Sooners crushed the Aggies 54-3 in 2007.

The Aggies defense will be in for a long night against the Sooners offense, last season the Aggies had the 11th worst rushing defense in the nation.  Utah State gave up 205.5 yards a game.

The Aggies offense will need to score a lot to keep up with the Sooners Saturday night. Diondre Borel returns this season after leading the Aggies to the 15th best total offense in the nation last season with 278.6 yards per game.  Borel is a duel threat who set a school record for single season yardage with 3343 yards last season.

When you are making your football picks for this game, consider that the line is inflated due to the Sooners seventh ranking. The Aggies offense is solid and the football spread should be about a touchdown closer.  Take the value of the Utah State Aggies at +33½

NCAA Football Pick:  Utah State Aggies +33½

Don’t Take Short Thoroughbred Racing Odds At Del Mar

Don’t take short thoroughbred racing odds on any horse to win Race 4 at Del Mar on Saturday, Sept. 4th.

Although there are two stakes races on Saturday at Del Mar, the best bet will most likely be found in Race 4 where three-year-olds will go one mile over the turf in an optional claiming $80,000. The horse that I like could end up going off at close to 5/1 odds in Race 4 at Del Mar on Saturday.

Del Mar Racetrack – Saturday

Where: Del Mar Racetrack – Race 4
When: September 4th, 2010 at 6:30 pm EST
TV: TVG

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Allowance Optional Claiming $80,000

Purse $57,000. (Plus $17,100 – CBOIF – California Bred Owner Fund). For Three-Year-Olds Which Have Never Won $10,000 Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Claiming Price $80,000.

1 mile over turf

pp.5-Spring Forth – - 7/2 fair betting odds

Spring Forth is listed as a closer in the racing form, but he was only 3 lengths behind the front-runners at the first call in his last race and 1 ¾ lengths behind the front-runners by the second call. That makes him a presser in my book and a presser with Patrick Valenzuela on his back could easily become a dueling front-runner if need be. Spring Forth is entering this off of a maiden victory and is trying grass for the first time. Those two things give me hope that he’ll go off at overlaid thoroughbred racing odds to win this. The son of Unbridled’s Song out of a Storm Cat mare is bred to be a champion. I hope he starts working towards that goal on Saturday.

pp.6-Deputy Max – - 4/1 fair betting odds

It’s been close but no cigar for Deputy Max in his last 3 races. In fact, going back to his last 7 races, Deputy Max has 1 victory, 2 second, and 4 third place finishes. That shouldn’t give any horseplayers confidence looking to bet this guy to win. Now, using him in the exotics is a different story because horseplayers know that Deputy Max is going to put forth a great effort on Saturday.

pp.7-Sebastian Flyte – - 5/1 fair betting odds

Sebastian Flyte is the wildcard in this race. The Ben Cecil trainee goes first time in the U.S. and has been working well over the Del Mar turf surface. The three-year-old colt had a good 2009 but has come back looking less than spectacular in 2010. Cecil often times doesn’t get them to run any better first time in the states, but horseplayers can be forgiven if they feel it’s necessary to back this guy at what might be overlaid thoroughbred racing odds.

Horse Wagering Strategy

Spring Forth looks like a solid play to win and place.

I will also play a trifecta with Spring Forth with Deputy Max, Sebastian Flyte, 2-Seattle Ruler, 4-Jairzihno with ALL.

Good luck!

Check out more thoroughbred racing odds in the racebook.

Sources: brisnet.com, equibase.com

College Football Betting Game of the Day – Oregon State vs TCU

The College Football Betting game of the day in my opinion is a contest between the 24th ranked Oregon State Beavers and the 6th ranked TCU Horned Frogs. It’s going to be quite the test for Ryan Katz who is making his first career start at quarter back for the Beavers. Not only is this game being played at Cowboys Stadium in Dallas, Texas, but he’s facing one of the toughest defences in the nation. Welcome to College Football Mr. Katz.

#24 Oregon State Beavers vs. #6 TCU Horned Frogs (Cowboys Stadium – Dallas, TX)
Saturday September 4th at 7:45 PM ET – TV: ESPN

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College Football Betting Line:
Oregon State – PS +13 ½ (-110) ML +425
TCU – PS -13 ½ (-110) ML -550
Total – 50

What a way to start your colligate career. Not only is TCU ranked 6th in the country, but they boast 27 seniors which is tied for most in the nation. Katz is also going up against a fifth year quarterback from TCU named Andy Dalton, who with his next victory passes Sammy Baugh for the all time wins list in school history. Talk about a debut.

This TCU team is coming in as a big favourite against the College Football Betting Line, but they are also coming in with their highest preseason ranking ever, and they deserve it. Coach Gary Patterson has built up one of the best all around football teams in the country, and it all came together last year as the Frogs captured the Mountain West Conference title while going 12-0 in regular-season. It’s the first time they’ve gone undefeated since the 1938 National Championship team, so the only thing that can top it this year would be adding that BCS title.

If Katz and the Beavers are looking for a bright spot in this one it’s that he won’t have to face the likes of Jerry Hughes or Daryl Washington, both stalwarts on the 2009 TCU team that were picked in the first two rounds of the last NFL draft. TCU’s defence will still be strong, but it’s not easy replacing two guys with that kind of talent. That won’t change the fact that TCU is going to come after the first year QB all day, challenging the kid to see if he can stand in the pocket and make plays with the heat on.

If TCU goes heavy blitz, which they will, Jacquizz Rodgers is going to need to find those holes and make TCU pay. He comes into this season as a serious contender for the Heisman as he racked up 1,440 yards and 21 scores on the ground in 2009, not to mention hauling in 78 passes. His older brother, James Rodgers, is going to need to play big as well. He is coming off a very impressive 2009 campaign that saw him pull in 91 catches for 1,034 yards and nine touchdowns.

TCU knows what they have in Andy Dalton, and he too is an early favourite for the Heisman. He made huge strides last year, and did so by making big plays with his feet, rushing for 512 yards and three scores. He’s always had a good arm, and showed that off last year, passing for 2,756 yards and 23 touchdowns.

With so many weapons and so many good players in this game, it makes this game the most exciting College Football Betting game to wager on in Week 1. I love TCU, and think they’re going to pull this one out, but not by more than 10 points. Oregon State is too good and from what I’ve heard about Ryan Katz, this kid is for real. I see this one coming down to a field goal or possibly a touchdown.

College Football Betting Pick: Oregon State (+13 ½)

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