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#4 Villanova vs St Johns Red Storm Game Odds

January 22, 2010

No. 4 Villanova Wildcats (17-1 SU, 13-4 ATS) at St. Johns Red Storm (12-6 SU, 9-6 ATS)
Saturday, January 23: 12:00 p.m.

Here are some NCAA Betting Trends which may impact this game:

  • Villanova: 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Villanova: Total has gone OVER in last 5 games
  • St. John’s: 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games
  • St. John’s: Total has gone UNDER in 4 of last 5 games

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There might not be a hotter in college basketball to bet on right now than the No. 4 ranked Villanova Wildcats. They take their undefeated Big East record on the road Saturday afternoon to play the St. Johns Red Storm.
Villanova is one of the highest scoring teams in college basketball this season, thanks a backcourt that might be the deepest in the game.

Leading the way is senior Scottie Reynolds, who chose to put off NBA riches to return to Villanova for his senior season. It seems like a good choice, as Reynolds numbers are up across the board in 2010, and leads this team with 18.7 points per game. Reynolds has scored 25 or more points in two of his last three games.

But Reynolds is certainly not the only contributing guard on this roster, as Corey Fisher and Reggie Redding both add double-digit points per contest, with Fisher leading this team in assists. Although the Wildcats frontline is a bit undersized, both Antonio Pena and Taylor King are having excellent seasons, combining to average 20 points and 14 rebounds per game. Villanova ranks third in college basketball averaging 85 points per game.

As for their opposition Saturday, St. Johns biggest problem in 2010 has been putting the ball in the basket themselves. On the season they rank just 219th in college basketball, scoring just 67 points per game. Even more alarming is that in six conference games, they have scored under 60 points in four of them.

The Red Storm’s most dangerous player this season has been guard D.J. Kennedy. Kennedy, a junior from Pittsburgh, is a versatile player, averaging 15 points per game. Kennedy was the only player who stepped up in St. Johns 75-59 loss to UConn Wednesday night, scoring a team high 17 points.

If there is one highly ranked team that Red Storm match up with in the Big East however, it might be these Villanova Wildcats. St. Johns themselves aren’t particularly big on the interior, but do have more size than Villanova. For the Red Storm to have any chance in this game, they’ll need to slow down the tempo, and force the ball inside. They should be expose to expose Villanova’s small lineup, but whether their big guys can finish at the rim will be the difference.

And as easy as it is to say that St. Johns needs to slow tempo against the Wildcats, that’s usually easier said than done. Villanova has scored 90 or more points in five of their last eight games.
While they might not get to that magic number, they should get pretty close, and cover Saturday’s betting odds.

Aaron’s Pick: Villanova by 16

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