Super Bowl Gambling – The Four Most Important Players For Pittsburgh

With the anticipation building for this Sunday’s Super Bowl XLV between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Green Bay Packers, the focus will shift to the individual playmakers that will make the difference before the final whistle.

Before you finish up your Super Bowl gambling, here is a quick look at the four most important Steelers that will have the biggest impact on the game.

Super Bowl Gambling X-Factor No. 1: Ben Roethlisberger

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While some will argue that safety Troy Polamalu is the most talented player that will dress in black and yellow this Sunday, the truth is that there is no player more important that quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Regardless of the criticism he will understandably incur due to his activities off of the field, Pittsburgh’s success over the past five years has had more to do with the play of Roethlisberger than any other individual player. No. 7 seems to always raise his play to another level in big games, and his tall frame and strong build allow him to take punishment that many other quarterbacks in the league would simply refuse to stand in for. Roethlisberger can make plays with both his arm and his legs, and his ability to scramble to buy more time for his receivers is unlike many in the league. There will be many key factors that contribue to whether Pittsburgh can clinch this victory, but none will be bigger than the play of Roethlisberger.

Super Bowl Gambling X-Factor No. 2: Troy Polamalu

While ‘Big Ben’ guides the offense, it will be Polamalu creating havoc as part of the Steelers’ 3-4 defense. Pittsburgh has long been known for it’s defense, and No. 43 is among the biggest reasons as to why. On top of having some of the nicest hair in the NFL, Polamalu has the ability to play in all three third of the defensive zone. The Pro Bowl safety can bring the heat with a blitz, stay up on the line and play the role of a spy, or drop back in to coverage as well as cover man-to-man. He may be slowed by an ankle injury that has left his playing status in question, and that could be a major negative for the defense.

Super Bowl Gambling X-Factor No. 3: Rashard Mendenhall

The type of big, bruising running back that embodies everything that an NFL rusher needs to be in the postseason, Mendenhall has rushed for 167 yards through two games with three touchdowns, including a 3.6 yards per carry average. The Fighting Illini Alumni has also rushed for eight first downs, making his role even more critical to keep the ball out of the hands of the Green Bay offense.

Super Bowl Gambling X-Factor No. 4: James Harrison

While Polamalu can play at all three levels, Harrison can make hits that vibrate through all three levels as one of the toughest linebackers in the game. The 32-year old has already registered three sacks, and when you consider the type of hits that he laid out during the regular season, there is no reason to think he won’t want to pop Packers’ quarterback Aaron Rodgers off of his feet. His presence alone is enough to make a difference, and if Harrison’s performance in the 2009 Super Bowl is any indication, then we can expect him to make a big difference.

Check out the latest football game lines in the sportsbook, click here! 

EPL –Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Man U., Newcastle United vs. Arsenal

The 26th Premier League cycle gets underway on Saturday with a plethora of standout clashes on the soccer-betting menu.

Wolverhampton Wanderers have the dubious honour of hosting top-of-the-table Manchester United while Newcastle United welcome Arsenal.

Soccer Betting Line:

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Newcastle United +1 -135 +400 2½ O -120 U +100 1 O +110 U -140 Draw +290

Arsenal -1 +115 -160 2½ O -120 U +100 1½ O -140 U +110 Draw +290

Match Time:10:00 AM Eastern Time (15:00 Local Time) Saturday February 5, 2011

Soccer Betting Verdict: This should be an attention-worthy game. Arsenal got off to a slow start against Everton in the last round, falling a goal behind before storming back with two unanswered goals to win 2-1. They will be careful not to make the same mistake against Newcastle United, a side that has proven to be a tough side to play against at times (8-6-10 on the season).

Newcastle United did however lose Andy Caroll to Liverpool recently, and that does take something away from them. Without him, they just aren’t as dangerous. Accordingly, their odds are a bit larger than they might have been had this clash taken place last week, listed at a whopping +400.

High-flying Arsenal are the favourites at -160 to win outright. Such a firm price tag suggests that they should have no problems winning. Now, I wouldn’t go so far as to say that Newcastle United will be a cakewalk, but without Caroll, it is hard to see how they would counter Arsenal’s relentless pressure upfront. I expect a heroic start but a sad finish for the proud home team.

Soccer Free Picks: Arsenal -160 | Over 21/2 -120

Soccer Betting Line:

Wolverhampton Wanderers +1 +115 +650 2½ O -135 U +115 ½ O -125 U -105 Draw +325

Manchester United -1 -135 -230 2½ O -135 U +115 2 O +100 U -130 Draw +325

Match Time:12:30 PM Eastern Time (17:30 Local Time) Saturday February 5, 2011

Soccer Betting Verdict: Manchester United take on bottom-scraping Wolverhampton Wanderers in what should be a straightforward affair for Sir Alex Fergusson and his men. Man U are the hot favourites at -230 to win outright at BetOnline Sportsbook, and few soccer bettors expect anything else other than a successful trip by Man U.

Man U are undefeated on the season, 15-9-0. They’ll look to protect that record at the Molineux, tonight. On the road, they haven’t been winning as much, granted, as they have been settling on the draw more often than Fergusson would like – they are 3-8-0 on the road this season; but they’ve won two of their last three road trips, which augurs well for them.

Wolverhampton have no hope at all. They are on a three-game losing streak, which includes a recent 3-0 defeat to Liverpool. At +650, they are a hallucinatory soccer bet. The draw bet at +325 is possible, though, given that Man U have shown a penchant for the draw this season. But as this is the last push of the season and with the title in sight, Sir Alex Fergusson doesn’t want to leave anything on the table; surely then, nothing less than a win would do.

Soccer Free Picks: Man U -230 | Over 2 ½ -135

Check out the latest soccer game lines in the sportsbook, click here! 

EPL Betting Picks –Tottenham Hotspurs vs. Bolton Wanderers

The Premier League betting clash between Tottenham Hotspurs and Bolton Wanderers is worthy of attention because it is a vital game for Tottenham. 

The Spurs need to stay close to the brat pack at the top of the table. As it is, the Spurs are three points behind Chelsea FC and adding another win would go a long way to maintaining pressure on their rivals for a top-four finish and a Champions League spot.

Of course, this doesn’t mean that Bolton doesn’t have a legitimate stake in this game.  On the contrary, Bolton has impressed this season and just as Tottenham Hotspurs  have a European goal, Bolton has one too: chasing a UEFA Europa League spot.

On eighth spot in the table, Bolton is in the running for a Europa League spot but pressure is coming from all sides – Sunderland and Liverpool (sixth and seventh) and Blackburn and Newcastle (ninth and tenth), just some of the few that are threatening for Europe’s second tier competition – making it a tight race and anybody’s ticket.

Soccer Betting Line:

Tottenham Hotspur  -1  +110   -180   2½  O -120   U +100    1½  O -150   U +120   Draw   +280    
Bolton Wanderers  +1  -130   +525 2½  O -120   U +100      1  O +130   U -160  Draw   +280    

Match Time:10:00 AM Eastern Time (15:00 Local Time) Saturday February 5, 2011

Soccer Betting Verdict: Tottenham Hotspurs (11-8-5 on the season) go into this clash as the hot favourites at -180. The Spurs have a solid 6-5-1 home record that is encouraging – their only defeat at White Hart Lane in Prem action was a bizarre 1-0 defeat to Wigan Athletic, an aberration on their domestic CV.

Although the Spurs suffered a 2-1 defeat at Everton recently it’s hard to look beyond the nine-game undefeated run in Premier League action (eleven spanning all competitions) before that loss at Goodison Park.

After the Everton loss, Spurs rebounded quickly, going undefeated in three straight games before taking a hefty 4-0 loss to Fulham in FA Cup action. That setback aside, in midweek Prem action, the Spurs beat Blackburn Rovers 1-0 on the away, which is a positive sign.

Bolton Wanderers (8-9-8 on the season) will be a tough side to beat. They’ve made better teams work hard for the win so nothing less but their best foot forward is to be expected at White Hart Lane.

There have been negative signs that are concerning. Going against them is a 2-4-6 road record, which is underscored by a five-game skid in their last six road games. In their last six overall league games, they’ve only managed one win and one draw.

Because Bolton has lost some of its intensity in this second half of the season bookies list it rather large +525. Still I think they’ll be tough to beat but the Spurs with home-patch advantage should come through.

Soccer Free Picks: Tottenham Hotspurs -180 | Over 2 ½ -120

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#12 ‘Nova, #14 G’Town, #24 Illini Likely Basketball Betting Faves

The #12 Villanova Wildcats, #14 Georgetown Hoyas and #24 Illinois Illini will likely be the favorites in the NCAA line odds sports book on Saturday, Feb. 5th.

The ‘Cats, Hoyas and Illini all play in early games on Saturday with the ‘Cats and Hoyas tipping off at home. Illinois takes on tough Northwestern on the road, but after their early week victory over Penn State, it’s likely that they too will go off as the fave on Saturday.

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Feb. 5th– NCAA BB Games

West Virginia Mountaineers (15-6) at #12 Villanova Wildcats (18-4)

Where: The Pavillion, Villanova, Pennsylvania

When: 12:00 pm EST

Fair Basketball Odds: West Virginia +6 ½

Analysis: The basketball betting trends are all over the Mountaineers in this contest. West Virginia is 5 and 1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning % above .600. They’re also 5 and 2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two. I love how the Mountaineers are 3 and 0 ATS in their last 3 and almost pulled off the moneyline upset over Louisville, a 54 to 55 loss, as +7 point road dogs in their last away game. The ‘Cats are good but they’ve lost 2 out of their last 3 straight up and are 0 and 3 against the spread in their last 3.

Providence Friars (14-9) at #14 Georgetown Hoyas (17-5)

Where: Verizon Center, Washington, D.C.

When: 1:00 pm EST

Fair Basketball Odds: Providence +8 ½

Analysis: G’Town has been on an absolute tear as far as the college basketball moneyline odds are concerned. The Hoyas have won 5 straight games over Rutgers, Seton Hall, St. John’s, Villanova and Louisville. They’re 4 and 1 against the spread in those 5 games and appear well-suited to put a beat down on the Friars on Saturday. But Providence has been good as well lately winning 3 out of their last 4 games straight up including beating both Louisville, 72 to 67, and Villanova, 83 to 68. Providence is 0 and 2 ATS in their last 2 games ensuring that they will receive a ton of points in Saturday’s contest versus G’Town.

#24 Illinois Illini (15-7) at Northwestern Wildcats (13-8)

Where: Welsh Ryan Arena, Evanston, Illinois

When: 1:00 pm EST

Fair Basketball Odds: Northwestern +4 ½

Analysis: Illinois is one tough team…at home. The Illini are only 3 and 3 against the NCAA spread odds on the road this season. The Illini take on a Northwestern team that has lost 3 games in a row straight up but almost pulled off the moneyline upset over #1 Ohio State in their last, a 57 to 58 loss, as a 10 ½ point home dog. The Big Ten ‘Cats can play with the big boys on their own court and Illinois is your classic “one day we’re up, one day we’re down” team. I feel that Northwestern could pull off the moneyline upset on Feb. 5th because Illinois can fall apart on the road.

Check out NCAA betting lines in the sportsbook, click here!

Premier League Betting – Man City and Blackburn Rovers in action

Manchester City and Blackburn Rovers highlight weekend Premier League betting action as they take on West Bromwich Albion and Wigan Athletic, respectively.

Soccer Betting Line:

Manchester City  -1  -140   -240   3  O +110   U -130    2  O -115   U -115   Draw   +350    
West Bromwich Albion  +1  +120   +625  3  O +110   U -130     ½  O -140   U +110  Draw   +350    

Match Time:10:00 AM Eastern Time (15:00 Local Time) Saturday February 5, 2011

Soccer Betting Verdict: Manchester City slipped in the table last weekend following a 2-2 draw against Birmingham City at St. Andrews Ground. The missed opportunity sees them fall eight points off pacesetting Manchester United, dealing their title aspirations a huge setback.

Man City will be looking to secure a home win against West Bromwich Albion and the odds makers are favouring them to do so, tipping them at -240. Home form has been encouraging this season; Man City is 13-7-5 at the City of Manchester Stadium, which includes a three-game winning streak ahead of this clash.

Indeed, Man City appears to be the better bet against West Bromwich Albion, a side that has been struggling mostly and mired in a relegation battle.

Soccer Free Picks: Man City -240 | Over 3 +110

Soccer Betting Line:

Wigan Athletic pk  -125   +150   2  O -140   U +120    1  O -140   U +110   Draw   +220    
Blackburn Rovers  pk  +105   +180   2  O -140   U +120     1  O -120   U -110  Draw   +220    

Match Time:10:00 AM Eastern Time (15:00 Local Time) Saturday February 5, 2011

Soccer Betting Verdict: Wigan Athletic are fast running out of time. They are 19th in the table, two points ahead of West Ham United. Unless they experience a dramatic turnaround, they will most likely be demoted by season end.

Wigan Athletic welcome Blackburn Rovers on Saturday, a side that has managed to coast under the radar and hold a spot somewhere in the middle of the mix in spite of undergoing many changes on and off the pitch. 

Although these two teams are coming from somewhat opposing directions in the table, the soccer betting line on offer is rather tight with Wigan listed at +150 and the Rovers tipped at +180.

This is because there is a glimmer of hope for Wigan here. In some ways, the Rovers present an excellent opportunity for Wigan to take all three points – if not, at least a point on the draw.

The Rovers have maintained mid-table modesty largely because of home form. Road form hasn’t been good at all. In their last six road games, the Rovers are 1-0-5; on the season, they are 3-1-8. Most recently, they are on back-to-back road losses.

Soccer Free Picks: Wigan Athletic +150 | Over 2 -140

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Super Bowl 45 Betting Props – Salivating James Starks Props Picks As Easy As ABC

A B C , Its easy as 1 2 3 ,
as simple as do re mi, A B C,
1 2 3, baby you and me girl
-The Jackson Five-

Yeah, I went there BetOnline pro football gamblers .. yep, back to the old school. Back to my man Michael Jackson and the Jackson Five.

But it’s all good pigskin bettors because cashing in against the value-packed Super Bowl 45 Betting Props for Green bay Packers Running Back James Starks looks as easy as A, B, C and 1, 2, 3 thanks to my signature, fact-based betting breakdown on the huge, but shifty running back.

I’ve got my eye on a trio of Super Bowl 45 Betting Props that all look closer to being a lock to me than anything else.

With the Big Dance just a couple of days away, let rock and roll her gridiron gamblers.

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James Starks total Rushing Yards

Over 51 ½ Rushing Yards -115
Under 51 ½ Rushing Yards -115

Analysis: There’s not a whole lot of history to go on for the clearly-gifted rookie rusher, but just to keep it simple here BetOnline gridiron gamblers, James Starks has easily topped the set Over/Under props total here in all three of his career postseason games this winter. Starks toasted Philadelphia for 123 rushing yards, Atlanta for another 66 yards and last but not least, the Chicago bears and their voracious defense, for 74 yards in the NFC title tilt. My Super Bowl 45 betting props pick here is to play the Over.

Super Bowl 45 Prediction: Over 51½ Rushing Yards

James Starks total Rushing Attempts

Over 16½ Rushing Attempts -115
Under 16½ Rushing Attempts -115

Analysis: Not much betting analysis is needed for this Super Bowl 45 betting props pick selection as the Packers have handed the ball to Starks 23, 25 and 22 times in their three postseason games this season. This pick is as pie with Pittsburgh almost assuredly set to give the ball to Starks 20 times or more.

Prediction: Over 16½ Rushing Attempts

James Starks Total Receiving Yards

Over 7½ Receiving Yards -115
Under 7½ Receiving Yards -115

Analysis: Starks had one catch against Philadelphia for nine yards and another against Chicago for six yards while not catching a ball against the Falcons in the divisional round. Clearly, the Packers don’t rely on Starks to catch the ball – and I don’t think the Steelers will allow it either.

My Super Bowl 45 betting props pick h=for this selection is to play the ‘Under’ BetOnline football bettors.

Prediction: Under 7½ Receiving Yards

Super Bowl XLV Prop Bets – Steelers, Packers Take On NBA All-Stars?!

You read that title right. Thanks to our oddsmakers drinking too much during the week (god bless ‘em), the cross sports Super Bowl XLV prop bets are finally here! These are the dumbest prop bets to take on Sunday. And by “dumbest” I mean “most fun”, especially if you have a smartphone to check up on all the action in other leagues.

There’s plenty of other sports action happening on Super Bowl Sunday, which in my opinion is sacrilegious. You can pretty much match any sport against Super Bowl XLV but here’s a breakdown of some of my favorite Super Bowl XLV cross sports prop bets, and they all have to do with the L.A. Griffins visiting the Miami Heat.

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Blake Griffin Point Total PK over Packers Point Total

Griffin scored 24 points against the Miami Heat earlier this year, but that was at home. Still this is a matchup delight for Griffin who will have to do even more work than usual since his two star guards are out of action. Honestly, Griffin hates losing to the big teams in the NBA and this is actually a great matchup for him since Chris Bosh is a “fake tough guy” (thanks, KD!). Griffin could very well be in store for a 30+ point game, so you’ll have to hope that the Packers can unleash their offense.

For the record, Green Bay is averaging 24.3 points per game this year, and 30.0 points per game in the playoffs. This is probably a good time to remind you that Pittsburgh plays the best defense in the league before you rush to bet this Super Bowl XLV prop bet…

Aaron Rodgers Completions +3.5 over Dwyane Wade Points

Dwyane Wade has a bad back after being slammed in to the ground by Dwight Howard. The only way that Green Bay wins is by passing the ball all day long. Rodgers has averaged 22.0 completions thus far in the playoffs, and he’ll need to have more than 30+ to beat Pittsburgh. That’s why you should ride Rodgers instead of Wade, who actually has a bad matchup, which makes this Super Bowl XLV prop better for the quarterback.

Super Bowl Point Total over LeBron James (PTS+REB+AST)

LeBron James will play the Los Angeles Clippers in South Beach on Sunday when the Super Bowl takes place, and to his credit he had 27 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists for a grand total of 41.0 which is under the current game total between the Packers and Steelers. Basically, if you want to take this Super Bowl XLV prop bet, you’re going to have to decide whether or not the Packers and Steelers will breach the 50-point ceiling because that’s the only way they’re truly safe from LeBron going ballistic against an injury depleted Clippers team.

The real key to playing the Super Bowl XLV total in this prop bet is by not underestimating the Packers and Steelers’ ability to score on defense. Turnovers are a big part of their game plans, and both Aaron Rodgers and Ben Roethlisberger have been vulnerable in that department.

On top of that, the offenses in general can do their part to pump up the scoreboard at Super Bowl XLV. At the end of the day, the Super Bowl XLV prop bets are supposed to be fun, and there’s nothing more enjoyable than cheering for touchdowns and points galore, especially against one of the NBA’s new villains.

Click here to bet on all the cross sports Super Bowl XLV prop bets!

Bet on Donald Driver Against Value-Packed Super Bowl 45 Props for Veteran Wideout!

There’s a multitude of other ‘big-name’ wide receivers that get a lot more attention than veteran Green Bay Packers wide receiver Donald Driver.

However, when it comes to catching crucial passes, I don’t know if there’s a more underrated wide receiver in the league today than the 35-year-old veteran.

Thanks to the creative oddsmakers at BetOnline, gridiron gamblers have a slew of great Super Bowl 45 props betting selections available in the BetOnline Football Sportsbook and this betting breakdown features a trio of value-packed Super Bowl 45 props odds centered on the 12-year veteran’s performance in Super Bowl 45.

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Here is my signature ‘fact-based’ betting analysis on each Super Bowl 45 Props wager followed by my unique Super Bowl 45 Predictions.

Donald Driver total Receiving Yards

Over 48 ½ Receiving Yards -115

Under 48 ½ Receiving Yards -115

Analysis: Let me ‘keep it real’ for a minute by saying that Donald Driver had, for him, what has to be considered a mediocre season as he saw his six-season streak of 1,000-yard receiving seasons come to an abrupt halt by catching just 51 ball for 565 yards and four touchdowns.

Driver only had four regular season games where he topped 48.5 receiving yards but he has topped the mark twice in the postseason in getting 56 receiving yards against Philadelphia and 76 against Atlanta before being held to just 9 yards on one catch against Chicago.

In a dozen career postseason games, Driver has topped the mark six times, but I’m betting that he tops the mark in this year’s Super Bowl as he bails Aaron Rodgers out of at least a couple of times with great catches against the tight Steelers defense. My Super Bowl 45 pros pick is to play the Over.

Super Bowl 45 Props Pick: Over 48½ Receiving Yards

Donald Driver total Receptions

Over 4½ Receptions +105

Under 4½ Receptions -135

Analysis: In the same 12 career postseason games I just mentioned, Driver has topped 4.5 catches just five times, which isn’t real encouraging for gridiron gamblers that like the Over.

Nevertheless, my Super Bowl 45 props odds pick for this selection is to play the ‘Over’. I really believe Driver will reach five catches for the third time this postseason – and each one of his grabs will be meaningful to say the least!

Super Bowl 45 Props Pick: Over 4½ Receptions

Donald Driver Longest Reception

Over 15 ½ Receiving Yards -110

Under 15 ½ Receiving Yards -120

Analysis: Driver had a 20-yard grab against Philadelphia in the Wild Card round and a 24-yard grab catch against Atlanta in the divisional playoff round before being held to just one grab against Chicago for nine yards.

My Super Bowl 45 pick for this props odds selection is to play the ‘Over’ though Driver certainly won’t beat the Steelers deep by any stretch of the imagination. I like Driver to get at least one 16-yard grab while Aaron Rodgers scrambles to avoid the rush.

Super Bowl 45 Props Pick: Over 15 ½ Receiving Yards

What’s The Line For Super Bowl? There Are Many Answers For Packers-Steelers Game

When people ask, "What is the line for Super Bowl Sunday?," we know that on the one hand, there is an answer that can be given, but on the other, there are MANY answers.

For example, you’ve got the line commonly known as the "pointspread," where the Green Bay Packers are favored by 2.5 points over the Pittsburgh Steelers. However, that is the line you are going to wager on where you will be laying the standard -110 on either side.

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When it comes to a line for Super Bowl action, however, that is not the only way you can go. Yes, there is a total on the game, which is 44.5 points (in this instance again, it is a line where you lay -110 either way, on the over or the under). There is a "money line," where the Packers are priced at -140, with the Steelers at +120, which pays only on the team that wins the game "straight-up." .

That is not the end of it, however. There is quite a lot to choose from, and we’ll talk about some of it.

Line For Super Bowl

SUPER BOWL XLV

Pittsburgh Steelers (14-4 SU, 12-6 ATS) vs. Green Bay Packers (13-6 SU, 12-7 ATS)

Live at Cowboys Stadium

Arlington, TX

Sunday, February 6 — 6:30 PM ET

TV:  FOX

Line For Super Bowl

Green Bay  -2.5

Pittsburgh  +2.5

Total 44.5

When it comes to a line for Super Bowl action, you can play "alternative lines" that are available for those who want to be so daring. For example, you can LAY 10.5 points with the underdog Steelers. Why would you do that, you ask? Well, because you can grab a big price in doing so. If you took the 2.5 points with the Steelers, as mentioned previously, you are laying -110. When you lay the 10.5 points, however, you can take a price of +350.

You can lay 10.5 points with the favored Packers and take a +250 price. The line for Super Bowl 45 can get even wilder than that. Do you think the Packers are going to have a blowout? Well, you can get paid handsomely for it, if it indeed happens. Green Bay gets a price of +450 if they could cover that kind of number. Do you want to grab a bunch of points with the Pack? Well, you can have 14.5 points if you’d like, but you’ll have to pay a price to do it. In fact, you’d be laying 10/1 odds.

You can do the same thing with totals. For example, if you think you are looking at an extremely high-scoring game, you can bet a line for Super Bowl action that is OVER 61.5 points and grab a price of +375. At the other end of the scale, if you think it will be lower scoring than almost anybody thinks, you can go UNDER 28.5 points and take +400; that is, if you dare.

Choose your line for Super Bowl 45 and bet it at BetOnline Sportsbook, click here!

Will the Super Bowl underdog strike again?

The Pittsburgh Steelers are a 2 ½-point underdog to the Green Bay Packers in Sunday’s betting on Superbowl XLV action.

There are many people who think that spread should be reversed and they all don’t reside in the greater Pittsburgh area. However, it might be a good thing to be an underdog given the recent Super Bowl history.

The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine Super Bowls and has won four of those games outright. New Orleans beat Indianapolis (31-17) last year as a five-point ‘dog. An interception return for a touchdown off Peyton Manning sealed the deal. The New York Giants shocked the New England Patriots in the 2007 season, 17-14 as 14-point underdogs.

The other two outright wins came several years back. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers upset the Oakland Raiders 48-21 as 3 ½-point ‘dogs in the 2002 season. Coach Jon Gruden got revenge against his former team and owner Al Davis. The year before, New England was a 14-point underdog to ‘The Greatest Show on Turf,’ the St. Louis Rams. That was another monumental upset with a 20-17 final and started the Patriots’ dynasty.

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The 2001 New England team was also significant for another reason. They’re the only AFC squad to be an underdog the last nine years. The AFC has been the favorite for the last eight years and that’s another reason the Green Bay spread is a little surprising.

The only favorites to ‘cover’ the last nine years were Pittsburgh in the 2005 season and Indianapolis the following season. Pitt beat Seattle 21-10 as 4 ½-point favorites, but that game was closer than the final score indicates and several questionable officiating calls directly affected the outcome.

Indianapolis’ subsequent 29-17 win over Chicago as seven-point favorites gave Peyton Manning his first (and only) Super Bowl ring. The Colts’ were leading just 22-17 in the fourth quarter before getting an interception return for a touchdown. That clinched the win and got the ‘cover.’

The question about Super Bowl XLV from Dallas is how will the past affect the future? Certainly Pittsburgh can be buoyed by the fact that underdogs have done so well. That makes them a good pick against the moneyline as well. There is a lot of heavy action on that already, not just from Steelers’ fans.

One thing for sure, this is going to be a fantastic game, and even more interesting if you have something riding on Sunday’s betting on Superbowl XLV in Dallas.

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