For This Week’s Football Picks, Few Better Than the Chiefs ATS

When it comes to this week’s NFL football picks, it’s going to be hard to find a better wager against the spread than the Kansas City Chiefs over the Green Bay Packers.

There are a number of reasons why the Chiefs are a big 5 ½ point favorite ATS against the Packers on Thursday night. The chief reason, no pun intended, is that Green Bay, without a doubt, is going to rest all of their starters on both offense and defense.

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The Packers understand that it’s going to be a very difficult, incredibly arduous, NFL Season.  Green Bay doesn’t want to put themselves into a hole by suffering an injury in order to satisfy those sports gamblers looking to make them one of the better NFL football online picks this Thursday night to cover the spread.

So, the Chiefs are the faves while the Packers sit and wait for next week.

 
Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs

Where:  Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

When:  September 2nd, 2010 at 8:00 pm EST

TV:  KCTV

Radio:  Sirius – 155 (GB), 147 (KC)

NFL Betting Lines

Green Bay Packers                 +5 ½ -110        O 40 ½ -110

Kansas City Chiefs                 -5 ½ -110         U 40 ½ -110

At first glance, based on the odds for all of Thursday’s potential football picks in the sportsbook, the Packers are an easy team to back.  After all, they haven’t scored less than 24 points in a single NFL Preseason game and put up 59 against the Indianapolis Colts in their Week 3 NFL Preseason game.

By contrast, the Kansas City Chiefs haven’t scored more than 17 points in a single NFL Preseason game this season.  To make matters worse, the Chiefs haven’t won a single NFL Preseason game since 2008, when they won 2 out of 4, and are on a 7 game NFL Preseason game losing streak.
So sports handicappers can be forgiven if they aren’t making the Kansas Chiefs one of their better NFL football handicapping picks for Thursday night.  Giving up 5 ½ points is a lot.

Hey, I though about that.  I wondered why, exactly, the Chiefs, who haven’t won a preseason game in what feels like forever, are giving up 5 ½ to the Packers who have been brilliant in their last two NFL Preseason games. Then, it suddenly hit me.  The Packers have given up 27 points, 24 points and 24 points this season.

Although D-coordinator Dom Capers is known as a defensive genius, the Packers’ D just hasn’t been playing like a shut down defense during the preseason.  They probably aren’t going to play like a shutdown D on Thursday night either.

The Kansas Chiefs’ offense has actually gotten better as the games have gone on.  They scored only 10 points against Atlanta. Then, they scored 15 points against Tampa Bay and then 17 points against Philly last week.

As the Chiefs’ offense becomes more and more accustomed to Charlie Weiss’s play calling, they’ve become more and more successful at putting up points and moving the ball.  That’s likely to happen this week as well.

The Packers will hold back on offense, they know what they’ve got, while the Chiefs are probably going to go after it a bit since they need to continue to familiarize themselves with Weiss’s system.  Because of that, the Chiefs are a terrific football picks prediction to cover the spread on Thursday night. 
 
NFL Betting Pick:  Kansas City Chiefs -5 ½ -110

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Sources:  espn.com, tsn.com, covers.com, nfl.com