Hollywood Park – Best Bet on July 16th is in Race 6
July 17, 2010
Race 6 at Hollywood Park on Friday is an Allowance 40000s with the type of specific conditions that should benefit my Hollywood play of the day.
My pick should keep her odds because the 2 in the race, Westwood Pride, beat her in both of their last races.
Where: Hollywood Park – Race 6
When: July 16th, 2010 at 9:35 pm PST
TV: TVG
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Hollywood Park – Friday
Allowance 40000s
For Three-year-Olds And Upward Which Have Broken Their Maiden For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less Or Cal Bred Or Sired Horses Which Have Broken Their Maidens For $50,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Two Races
1 mile over turf
pp.5 Sheeza Beast – - 3/1 fair horse betting odds
Trainer Mike Mitchell is winning at a 37% clip at the meet. Sheeza Beast helped that percentage in May when breaking her maiden going 1 1/16th miles over the cushion track.
About 4 weeks later she showed up at this level and on the turf going 1 1/16th miles. She went 3 wide and lost by a neck at the wire.
It was an exceptional race first time against winners.
Considering that jockey Tyler Baze stays, and Mitchell wins at a 33% clip second time on the grass, Sheeza Beast figures to be the best bet to win the 6th at Hollywood Park on Friday night.
pp.2 Westwood Pride – - 3/1 fair horse betting odds
Westwood Pride will most likely be a short-priced favorite in the 6th at Hollywood on Friday night. She should be after finishing 2nd, and beating Sheeza Beast, in her last.
Westwood Pride might be the lone speed in the field, keeps superman jockey Rafael Bejarano, and should improve slightly off of that 2nd place finish. If she does, they might take her picture after this race.
pp.6 Melbisha – - 5/1 fair horse betting odds
Melbisha stretches out and goes first time on the turf for trainer Neil French.
That’s not exactly a winning move for French but Joel Rosario is a great jockey and Melbisha has enough turf breeding to suggest that she might make an impact on Friday night. Melbisha has a victory and 4 second place finishes in her last 5 races.
Other Horses to Use
pp.1 Mystery Bird – - Broke her maiden in impressive fashion at first asking, stretches out on the turf, and keep jockey Joe Talamo.
Horse Wagering Strategy
Sheeza Beast looks very tough in this spot. I’m going to bet her to win. I will bet an exacta with Sheeza Beast over Westwood Pride. I will reverse the exacta for less.
I will bet a trifecta keying pp.5-Sheeza Beast with pp.1 Mystery Bird, pp.2-Westwood Pride, pp.6-Melbisha with pp.1-Mystery Bird pp.2-Westwood Pride pp.6-Melbisha.
I will bet another trifecta keying pp.1-Mystery Bird pp.2-Westwood Pride pp.6-Melbisha with pp.5-Sheeza Beast with pp.1-Mystery Bird pp.2-Westwood Pride pp.6-Melbisha.
Good luck!
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