Horse Bet of the Day: Grade III Azalea Stakes at the Calder Summit of Speed
July 9, 2010
Who says that you can’t find the best bet of the day in a graded race on a Saturday?
I believe I’ve done it! The Grade III Azalea Stakes at the Calder Summit of Speed this Saturday might not look like a great race to bet at first, but after carefully studying all of the angles, that’s exactly what it is!
A great race to bet!
Horse Bet of the Day – Saturday
Where: Calder – Race 8
When: July 10th, 2010 at 4:17 pm EST
TV: HRTV
$150,000 Grade III Azalea Stakes
For Fillies Three-Years-Old
6 furlongs over dirt
6-Bronx City Girl – - 6/1 morning line horse betting odds
Trainer Martin Wolfson claimed this daughter of Yankee Gentleman for $50,000 at a race at Churchill Downs.
Now, Wolfson throws this gal into a Grade III. Wolfson is winning at a 31% clip at the Calder meet and is an amazing 78% first after the claim.
Sure, he’s only claimed 9 horses this year, but that’s 7 out of 9 first time winners after the claim. This gal can definitely lie right behind the speed, take charge, and then win going away.
If Wolfson feels that she can win this, then I’m not arguing with him.
1-Rapport – - 5/2 morning line horse betting odds
Pica Slew, who is 2 for 2 over the Calder racing strip, is the 9 to 5 morning line favorite mainly because everybody believes she’ll be able to sit behind Rapport and then take over from that one at the top of the stretch.
I don’t think so. I’ve seen Rapport run live and let me tell you, she’s fast! She’ll take the lead and then try to separate from Pica Slew.
I believe she will and while Pica Slew throws in the towel, Rapport will keep on going.
She could very well wire this field and deserves to be considered for the win slot.
5-Buckleupbuttercup – - 3/1 morning line horse betting odds
She got trounced in the Grade I Acorn but before that she won the Grade III Eight Belles over the slop at Churchill Downs.
She’s definitely the classiest horse in this field and that could carry her home first, but she’s not really a sprinter having not run at this 6-furlong distance since breaking her maiden.
Leparoux will get her in a good position, but I don’t believe she quite gets there first for the victory.
Horse Wagering Strategy
Bronx City Girl is a serious threat to win this first off the claim for Marty Wolfson. I’ll bet her to win and place.
I will also bet an exacta keying Bronx City Girl over Buckleupbuttercup and Rapport. I’ll reverse the exacta for less.
Good luck!
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