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Mariners Aces – Seattle at Los Angeles

April 25, 2009

Bedard, Mariners To Take Down Angels, Loux Tonight

The Seattle Mariners (10-6 SU, 11-5 RL, 8-8 O/U) and Los Angeles Angels (6-9 SU, 6-9 RL, 9-5-1 O/U) will both be looking to record consecutive victories when they square off at Angel Stadium tonight at 10 PM ET in a battle of division rivals.

The Mariners narrowly defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 1-0 on Thursday as a -110 pick’em while the final score played well Under the 7.5-run O/U total.

The Angels are coming off a convincing 10-5 win over the Detroit Tigers on Thursday as +120 underdogs while the 15 combined runs played well Over the posted over/under total (9.5).

The Mariners will turn to left-hander Erik Bedard (1-1, 1.86 ERA) in this contest while the Angels counter with right-hander Shane Loux (0-1, 3.65 ERA).

Bedard was solid I his last start, allowing only two runs – one earned – in six innings while striking out eight, in a 2-0 loss to Detroit.

While he’s still looking for his first win of the season, Loux has been solid in two starts and allowed three earned runs over seven innings in a 3-1 loss to Minnesota on Sunday.

Here is a look at tonight’s key MLB betting trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and MLB Free Pick.

The Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.

The Mariners are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. American League West.

The Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.

The Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

The Under is 5-2 in Bedard’s last 7 starts on grass.

The Over is 11-5 in Angels last 16 games a home underdog.

The Mariners are 15-36 in the last 51 meetings.

The Mariners are 5-18 in the last 23 meetings in Los Angeles.

MLB Odds

Seattle Mariners -1½ +135

Erik Bedard –L -120

Los Angeles Angels +1½ -155

Shane Loux –R Ev

Over 8½ Ev

Under 8½ -120

Analysis: I like the Seattle Mariners to win this contest and cover the Run Line as they get another quality start from veteran southpaw Erik Bedard and the same timely hitting they’ve been getting all season long.

MLB Free Picks: Mariners -1½ Runs/Under 8½ Total Runs

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