MLB Betting – Mets Are a Nice Underdog Baseball Bet on Memorial Day

The New York Mets are an attractive underdog baseball bet on Memorial Day, but the best bet might be under the total of 6 ½ runs.

New York travels to San Diego to take on the Padres at Petco Park. Although that would be a disaster in most cases, the Padres send Kevin Correia to the mound.

Correia is the one pitcher in San Diego’s rotation that hasn’t lived up to the rotation’s hype.

The Padres are #2 in the MLB in ERA average yielding only 2.98 runs per game.

Correia is 4 and 4 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. He’s lost 3 out of his last 4 starts and faces a New York Mets team that plays with a lot of confidence when the man that they send to the mound tonight, Hisanori Takahashi, throws for them.

Still, Correia might be rounding back into form. That means a bet against him might not be the wisest wager to make.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres

• Where: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
• When: May 31st 2010, at 10:05 pm EST
• TV: New York Mets – SNY
  San Diego Padres – 4 San Diego
• Radio: New York Mets – WFAN 660, WQBU 92.7
  San Diego Padres – XPRS 1090, XEPE 1700, XEMO 860

MLB Sportsbook Betting Line

New York Mets Hisanori Takahashi – L Ev O 6 ½ -110

San Diego Padres Kevin Correia – R -120 U 6 ½ -110

Neither team has an advantage based on the baseball betting trends.

• The New York Mets are 6 and 1 in their last 7 versus the National League West.
• The Under is 4 and 1 in the New York Mets’ last 5 games on the road versus a right-handed starter.
• The San Diego Padres are 4 and 1 in their last 5 games following a victory.
• The Under is 6 and 1 in Kevin Correia’s last 7 starts following a quality start in his last.

That quality start occurred on May 26th last week when Correia pitched 6 scoreless innings versus the St. Louis Cardinals. Correia did very well that day, although he did walk 6 batters, to hold the Cardinals to 0 earned runs.

Was that performance a sign that he can keep the Mets under control in Monday night’s game? Yes it was because Petco Park is a tough place to score as it is. That’s the first reason Correia’s got a shot. The second reason is because Correia, even though he’s 0 and 3, has a 1.63 ERA against the New York Mets.

The Mets’ pitcher is pretty good as well. Takahashi is 4 and 1 with a 2.13 ERA. The 35-year old rookie from Japan hasn’t yielded a run in his last 12 innings pitched.

With two stalwart guys throwing from the mound tonight (well, one stalwart guy, Takahashi, and a guy returning to his best!), this figures to be a low scoring game. That’s the online baseball bet that I’ll be making. I believe that neither Hisanori Takahashi nor Correia gives up more than 2 runs apiece.

That would leave me with 2 runs to work with on the MLB betting line.

I’m going under in this game. A pitchers’ duel to end Memorial Day 2010? I like it!

Baseball Betting Pick: Under 6 ½ runs