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MLB Parlay Picks – Angels Looking To Snap Modest Skid against Lowly Mariners

July 15, 2010

The Los Angeles Angels will be looking to snap their modest two-game losing streak and cash in for MLB betting backers when they play host to the lowly Seattle Mariners at Angel Stadium tonight at 10 PM ET.

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Thursday, July 15, 10:05 PM ET

MLB Odds
Seattle Mariners +1½ -155 +135
Doug Fister –R
L.A. Angels -1½ +135 -155
Joel Piniero R
Over 8½ Ev
Under 8½ -120

TV: FSN, FS-W, MLBN
Radio: Sirius 178 XM

Seattle (35-53 SU, 36-45-7 O/U, 41-47 RL)
L.A. Angels (47-44 SU, 44-43-4 O/U, 45-46 RL)

Here is a look at the key trends surrounding tonight’s contest, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert MLB picks.

  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Mariners are 24-52 in the last 76 meetings.
  • Mariners are 10-25 in the last 35 meetings in Los Angeles.

 

Seattle 411

  • Mariners are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Mariners are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
  • Mariners are 3-7 in Fister’s last 10 starts.
  • Mariners are 2-7 in Fister’s last 9 road starts.

The Mariners have lost six of seven and eight of their last 10 games overall, including an emphatic 8-2 loss to the Yankees on Sunday. Casey Kotchman went 3-for-4 with a solo home run for Seattle but starter, Ryan Rowland-Smith was smacked around for six runs on six hits in just four innings to take the loss.

L.A. Angels 411

  • Angels are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. American League West.
  • Angels are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.
  • Angels are 7-0 in Pineiro’s last 7 home starts.
  • Angels are 7-0 in Pineiro’s last 7 starts.

The Angels have lost two straight and six of seven overall including a convincing 5-2 loss to Oakland on Sunday.

Bobby Abreu hit a solo home run for the Angels in the loss, but starting pitcher Jered Weaver gave up five runs on seven hits in six innings.

The Starters: Tonight, the Mariners will give the ball to rookie right-hander Doug Fister (3-4, 3.09 ERA) while the Halos counter with veteran right-hander Joel Pineiro (9-6, 3.96 ERA).

The rookie right-hander is gradually returning to his early-season form, relying on an over-the-top motion that creates movement on his pitches and frustration for the hitters. He held the Royals to one run over six innings in his last outing.

Analysis: While the L.A. Angels have clearly taken a step back from the team they used to be, even last season, I like them to win this contest by handing the struggling Mariners a convincing loss, thanks to a fine effort from Joel Pineiro.

The veteran hurler has gone 2-0 with a fine 2.70 ERA over his last three starts while not allowing more than three earned runs in six consecutive starts.

On the other hand, Seattle’s Doug Fister has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts, though he did look terrific in allowing just one earned run on six hits in six innings in his last start.

In addition to playing the Angels to cover the MLB Run Line with the two-run home win at the very least, I also like the Over to play out as it has gone 5-2 in the last seven games between these rivals and an identical 5-2 in Pineiro’s last seven starts.

MLB Free Picks: Angels -1½ Runs/Over 8½ Total Runs

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