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MLB Prop Betting – Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays

May 31, 2010

BetOnline Sportsbook returns with its Memorial Day baseball analysis for propositions in the game between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Toronto Blue Jays. Check out these MLB prop betting wagers for Monday’s duel at Rogers Centre!

Race to Three Runs
Tampa Bay Rays -160
Toronto Blue Jays +180
Neither +700

The prospects are definitely there for this to be an incredibly low scoring game, and with that being the case, we’re going to say that there is better than a one in seven chance that neither team reaches three runs tonight.

RHP Brandon Morrow has pitched particularly well against Tampa Bay in his career. In spite of the fact that he has a 0-1 record, his ERA is a rock solid 2.30, and he has already had three starts this year in which opposing teams have failed to reach a total of three runs for the game.

For the Rays, RHP Matt Garza also has a stellar 2.19 ERA for his career against Toronto, and opposing teams have been held under three runs in five of his ten starts on the season.

My MLB Prediction: Neither Team Reaches Three Runs +700

Most Total Bases
Ben Zobrist -125
Aaron Hill -105

With SS Jason Bartlett out of the lineup, Zobrist has been hitting at the top of the order for manager Joe Maddon. He has at least one base hit in four straight games in which he has started, and his home run swing is starting to come back as well, as he has three bombs in his L/8 games played.

Hill is batting just .163 on the season, and even though he does have three home runs in his L/5 MLB betting battles, the truth of the matter is that he is failing to put the bat on the ball often enough to scare us with this prop. Garza did allow three dingers in his last outing against the Red Sox, but he had only conceded five in his previous nine before that. Don’t be shocked if Hill goes 0-fer tonight, and we’ll take our chances that Zobrist ends up both with more at bats and more production.

My MLB Prediction: Ben Zobrist -125

Total Hits + Runs + Errors
Over 27.5 -120
Under 27.5 -110

Morrow has been prone to walking batters this year, allowing 32 free passes. However, his batting average against isn’t as bad as one would think at .277. The Rays are only hitting .140 against him in his career. Garza is only allowing one hit per every roughly inning and a third that he pitches, and if that’s the case, we fully expect to see the Jays fail to put 13 total hits and runs on the scoreboard themselves. The trick is going to be keeping Tampa Bay under that threshold as well.

For a game that Garza is pitching in, this is a relatively lofty number. Tampa Bay’s bullpen has been solid this year, and in games that the righty has started, he has averaged allowing just 7.9 runs + hits. It’s a tall order to ask Tampa Bay to cover the rest of this number.

My MLB Prediction: Under 27.5 Hits + Runs + Errors -110

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