NFC Conference Championship Prop Betting – Vikings vs. Saints
January 20, 2010
It’s the Minnesota Vikings taking on the New Orleans Saints in the Superdome for a ticket to the 2010 Super Bowl!
After placing bets on which team is most likely to cover the wagering spread, and putting together a two wager or more parlay, sports gamblers should take a look at the props being offered on the game between the Vikings and the Saints.
Proposition betting is a fun way to get extra action on a game and what sports gambler would ever argue against extra action? Let’s take a look at some of the better prop bets to consider in the NFC Conference Championship.
NFC Conference Championship: Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints
First To Score
Vikings -105
Saints -125
Analysis: The Minnesota Vikings are a tempting play because last week the Arizona Cardinals scored on the 1 st play from scrimmage against the New Orleans Saints. My feeling is that the Saints will be ready for A.P. in this game and that the Vikings, should they get the ball first, will take it easy to get an idea of what the Saints are going to do on defense.
New Orleans knows only one way to go on offense, as fast as they can. Yes, they will run the ball but coach Sean Payton has a first strike mentality. The Saints are the bet in this prop.
Pick: Saints -125
Total Field Goals Made
Over 3 ½ FGs Made +150
Under 3 ½ FGs Made -180
Analysis: The Vikings’ defense is very good but the Saints should be able to score touchdowns in this game. That doesn’t mean, though, that New Orleans Orleans won’t put up two or even three field goals in this game.
Minnesota should be good for at least two field goals in this game. So, even though a lot of touchdowns figure to be scored in this, field goals could happen with regularity. The main reason to bet Over 3 ½ FGs Made? The odds. +150 is just too hard to pass up.
Drew Brees Completions
23 Completions +500
24 Completions +400
25 Completions +500
26 Completions +600
Analysis: Brees was 23 out of 32 against the Arizona Cardinals last Sunday. If anything, he should be about the same or slightly better against Minnesota this Sunday.
Minnesota’s defensive backs just aren’t as good as one would expect. So, if the Saints can block the Vikings’ D-line, then Brees should be able to carve up the Vikings’ defense, but that should equate to around 26 completions.
That’s the bet that I will be making, but I couldn’t argue with the sports gambler that likes 23, 24 or 25 completions.
Pick: 26 Completions +600
Adrian Peterson Rushing
+500
81-90 +400
91-100 +400
101-110 +475
Analysis: This is a tough prop bet to make because nobody really knows how A.P. is going to do in this game. The Saints’ D will be geared up to stop the run. The main question is whether or not the Vikings stick to the run even though A.P. might get stuffed.
And, if they stick to the run, do they stick with A.P. or do they move on to Chester Taylor? Peterson hasn’t rushed for 100 yards or more since Week 10 of the NFL Regular Season. Will he do it against the Saints? I don’t think so because the Saints’ offense should force the Vikings to throw the ball.
A.P. should have an okay game, though. So, 91 to 100 at 4 to 1 looks like a solid bet to me.
Pick: 91-100 at +400




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