NFC Games of the Week – Winning Picks
December 31, 2009
The New Orleans Saints have secured home field advantage throughout the playoffs and the all important 1st round bye, but what about the second seed?
That’s the main question going into the NFC in Week 17. Let’s take a quick look at the games that could have an affect on who does or does not get that important second seed and 1st round bye in the NFC Playoffs.
After checking out the games, log onto the sportsbook and make your bets, and then check back on Monday for write-ups regarding the NFC playoff odds.
New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings
Kick-off: 1:00 pm EST
NFL Odds: Minnesota -9, Total 47 ½
Analysis: The Vikings are deadly at home. Even if they win this, they don’t control their own destiny, but Favre and company know that putting pressure on Philly requires them to spank the G-Men in the first slate of games.
Oh, did I already write that the Vikings are deadly at home? It bears repeating because the Vikings are 4-2-1 ATS in the dome. The over/under is 3 and 4 at home as well and the G-Men are just atrocious right now offensively.
The Giants scored only 9 points last week and lets be honest, they freakin’ gave up against the Panthers. They’re going to really give up against the Vikings.
I’m going to parlay this thing!
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Pick: Minnesota at -9 to under 47 ½
Green Bay Packers vs. Arizona Cardinals
Kick-off: 4:15 pm EST
NFL Odds: Arizona -3 ½, Total 43 ½
Analysis: Green Bay has been on a roll lately. Even their loss in Pittsburgh was more impressive than most teams victories have been in 2009.
The Packers have won 8 out of their last 11 games straight-up and have gone 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Those are sterling numbers. On the road in 2009, the Packers were 5 and 2 ATS.
Arizona can secure the 2nd seed in the playoffs with a victory and a Minnesota and Philadelphia loss. I suspect that Minnesota will have won by the time this game kicks off. So, the Cardinals should be somewhat flat in this one.
Oh, yes. The Cardinals also couldn’t cover spreads against San Francisco and Detroit in 2 out of their last 3 games. They also haven’t played a team of Green Bay’s caliber in about a month.
Pick: Green Bay Packers at -3 ½
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys
Kick-off: 4:15 pm EST
NFL Odds: Dallas -2, Total 47
Analysis: This is the most meaningful game on Sunday because the winner of this game wins the NFC East.
Not only that, but if the Eagles win they also secure the 2nd seed in the playoffs. If the Cowboys win, and Minnesota and Arizona lose, they would secure the 2nd seed in the playoffs.
The ‘Boys have won 4 out of their last 6 including that awesome victory over the Saints in New Orleans two games ago, but I’m not ready to jump onto their bandwagon just yet. To me, the Cowboys looked great against New Orleans and somewhat flat against Washington.
Yes, the Cowboys defense is playing exceptionally well right now, but the Saints had their chances and Washington just isn’t very good.
So, my thinking is that Donovan McNabb and DeSean Jackson expose that defense some and that the pressure really gets to the ‘Boys who might be reading too much good press about themselves in between practice sessions. The Cowboys are good, make no mistake, but Philly is better.
The one glaring trend to me is that the Eagles are 4 and 1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Dallas. They’ve got the Cowboys’ number.
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles at +3
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