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NFL Draft – Defensive Positions

April 20, 2010

With the NFL season still months away, there’s no need to worry if you still need a gambling fix. Especially when you can make football prop bets on this weekend’s NFL Draft.

Let’s look at a few.

Number of Defensive Tackles Taken in Round One- Over 4 ½ (+200) or Under (-300): Defensive tackle may be one of the hardest positions in all of football to account for. After all, there just aren’t that many big, strong, physical guys, that also are agile and athletic at 300 lbs. They might be the rarest commodity in football.

So with that said, will this bet go over or under?

For starters, it appears that two defensive tackles will go off the board within the top five, if not sooner, in Nebraska big man Ndomukong Suh and his counterpart from Oklahoma Gerald McCoy. Each is a physical freak, and it is expected that those two will go at No.’s 2 and 3 in this draft.

Beyond them though, who is available? While he might not yet be a household name, many believe that Tennessee DT Dan Williams will almost certainly be off the board in Round 1 as well, with many pegging him to Miami at pick No. 12.

After that, we could see any number of guys go in the first 32 picks, but we’re really not sure who they could be and in what order. Penn State’s Jared Odrick seems to be an ideal fit for a 3-4 attacking defense, and many project it unlikely that he falls beyond the New York Jets at pick No. 29.

Then there are other big names, like Terrence Cody of Alabama and UCLA’s Brian Price, and a wild card in Cal’s Tyson Alualu. But will any go in the first 32 picks? Don’t be so sure.

While the top four defensive tackles will go in the first round, teams know that this is one of the deepest positions on the board. Expect people to wait, rather than reach for a Cody or Price, and instead snag them in Round 2 or beyond.

The Play: Under (-300)

Number of Defensive Ends Taken in Round One- Over 4 (-250) or Under 4 (+175): Defensive end is another absolutely fascinating position, as there are several players who’ll be right on the cusp of the first round come draft day.

It seems to be a foregone conclusion that Georgia Tech’s Derrick Morgan will go somewhere in the top 15. Morgan is rated as one of the top 10 players in this draft regardless of position, and is head and shoulders above the rest of the competition.

After him, it gets murky.

Jason Pierre-Paul is one of the most polarizing players in this draft, as he has all the physical tools to be dominant at the next level, but played just one year in the Big East at South Florida. Will that inexperience be a factor?

Everson Griffen from USC was once widely regarded as the best up and coming prospects at this position. But after a shaky career where he never really established himself, teams may be afraid to use a first round pick on him. The same with Carlos Dunlap from Florida, who is best known for a DUI just days before the SEC Championship Game last December. Is that a guy you want to bring into your organization?

While the talent is there with these guys, so are the question marks. Like the NFL teams drafting them, be smart and stay away from these questionable defensive ends. Make the under your NFL Draft prop bet here.

The Play: Under 4 (+175) –  JOIN HERE!

National League Betting Tips – Brewers Visit Nationals

April 17, 2010

Both Yovani Gallardo (0-2 SU) and John Lannan (1-1 SU) have the faith of their ball clubs, but neither is bolstering the baseball betting faith of the sports gambling public early in the season. Both pitchers will seek redemption tonight when the Brewers and Nationals begin a three-game series in our nation’s capital, but only one can actually gain it.

The Brewers are a comfy bet in the national league largely due to their ability to play defense. With Alcides Escobar excelling at shortstop, and a great play caller like Gregg Zaun behind the plate, the Brewers betting backers have every reason to believe that the rest of the team can make up for lackluster efforts at the mound. Of course, if you looked at the number, the Brewers’ 6.1 runs allowed per game wouldn’t exactly make anyone run to the sportsbook.

Gallardo especially has a lot to make up for after signing a five-year extension worth $30.1 million. In 12 innings split against the Rockies and Cardinals, the right handed ace has allowed a debilitating 10 runs and is carrying an 6.75 ERA in to the matchup against the weak bats of the Nationals.

Milwaukee Brewers (4-5) vs. Washington Nationals (4-5)
Friday, April 16th — Nationals Park — 7:05pm EST
MLB Betting Lines;
Yovani Gallardo – R -1.5 EV -160 O 8.5 -110
John Lannan – L +1.5 -120 +140 U 8.5 -110

Countering Gallardo for the Nationals will be John Lannan, who was demolished by the Brewers last season. In a brief start that lasted just 1 2/3 innings, the Nationals’ starting man gave up 7 runs. Though he has showed plenty of promise in his 2009 MLB betting efforts, he has hardly been the model of consistency at the stripe for Washington.

Where To Watch: FSWI, MASN

As leery as you are about Milwaukee starting pitcher, you have to be more assured in their ability to rack up runs on the offensive side of the plate. Milwaukee averaged 5.2 runs per game and Washington’s defense has allowed 8.0 runs against when playing at home. Despite the fact that the Brewers haven’t been great on the road this year, they’ve been solid against Washington in the past. Bet Brewers to get your MLB betting weekend off to a crackling start.

Furious MLB Free Pick: Milwaukee RL and ML (UNDER)

Super Bowl Cross-Sport Props – LeBron vs. Saints Point Total

February 6, 2010

The Super Bowl is the biggest sports gambling event in the world and the Super Bowl Sportsbook, run by experts in the field of gambling, like to make things interesting by offering unique prop bet wagers.

Cross-sports prop betting, one such wager, offers matchup betting between a particular team and, often times, a player from a different sport. After studying all of the cross-sports prop bets in the sportsbook, I’ve come to the conclusion that this is one of the best to wager on, especially if you’re an NBA fan.

Who Will Have More?

LeBron James Points -5 ½ -130
New Orleans Saints Points +5 ½ -110

LeBron James takes on the New York Knicks on Saturday, one of his favorite places to play. There will be some other players on the court with him that day, but let’s be honest, the Cleveland Cavaliers are all about King James.

The Knicks, because of their coach Mike D’Antoni, play an up and down style. They don’t believe in defense in New York, but James isn’t a lock to dump in a ton of points. LeBron did score 33 points last time the Cavaliers faced the Knicks on Nov. 6th 2009, a 100 to 91 Cleveland victory. But lately, James has been a fan of the time, dishing out a season high 13 against the pacers last Monday night.

LeBron is giving up 5 ½ points to the Saints in this prop bet as well. So the key in betting this cross-sports prop is to determine how many points the Saints are likely to put up against the Colts. My opinion is that New Orleans is good enough for at least 35.

That means that King James will have to score at least 41 points, 35 + 6, in order for James’ backers to cash. I just don’t think “The King” is going to do that. He’ll get between 30 and 36 in my opinion.

The Saints? Putting up 42 to 48 in the Super Bowl isn’t out of the question for them.

Pick: Saints at +5 ½ -110

Superbowl Gambling: Which way to bet in the Saints vs Colts

February 5, 2010

If you’re the type who is going to partake in SuperBowl gambling, you’ve got to wonder to what degree can Drew Brees of the Saints slice apart the Indianapolis Colts defense, which was somewhat middle-of-the-road in passing defense (ranked 14th in the league) but was eighth in the league in points allowed. Brees threw for 4388 yards this season, with 34 TD’s. He tossed 34 touchdown passes last season also, but had 5069 yards, coming close to the all-time record, and he managed to do it without people like Jeremy Shockey, Marques Colston and Reggie Bush in good health.

The Colts have to be given credit for doing a great job adapting to what they’ve been faced with, and that is a factor in the Super Bowl odds equation. For example, almost all season long they have been without injured safety Bob Sanders, who was so highly regarded that just a couple of seasons ago, he was named the defensive player of the year. Sanders was said to be the key to Indianapolis being able to slow down opposition running attacks, and this season the Colts allowed 4.3 yards a carry, which would seem somewhat inviting to the Saints, who ran for 4.5 yards an attempt. Remember, it always helps a quarterback when he can mix the run with the pass.

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What the Saints have in the backfield is most certainly worth looking at, if you’re closely examining the SuperBowl gambling angles. Pierre Thomas has been the closest thing they’ve had to a workhorse, with 793 yards on a 5.4-yard average this season. However, Thomas has not been overworked, and that is because New Orleans also had Mike Bell (654 yards available). Then there is Reggie Bush, the Heisman Trophy winner who averaged 5.6 yards a carry, caught 47 passes, and is always capable of making a big play, whether it is as a runner or a receiver. If Kim Kardashian doesn’t wear him out during Super Bowl week, he could be very dangerous.

You can be dangerous too, testing your sports expertise in SuperBowl gambling at BetOnline Sportsbook, where you’ll have the largest menu of odds, spreads and props at your disposal for the big day!

Super Bowl Cross-Sports Prop Betting – Kobe Bryant vs. New Orleans Saints Point Total

February 5, 2010

Super Bowl Cross-Sports Prop Betting:  

The Super Bowl is the best time of year for all of us sports gambling nuts. This is the only event in the world that has so many unique betting propositions that go way beyond the coin toss and the winning team.

BetOnline is offering up a record number of props this year, ranging from everything Super Bowl 44, to teams and players from different sports.  After studying all of the cross-sports prop bets in the sportsbook, I’ve come to the conclusion that this is one of the best one to wager on.

Cross-Sports Prop Betting:
 
** The Super Bowl is on February 7th. Kobe plays on February 6th.

Who Will Have More Points February 6th 2010?
Kobe Bryant Points                                         +3 ½ -120
New Orleans Saints                                         -3 ½ -120

Both the Saints and the Kobester are going off at -120 in the sportsbook to score more points.  The difference is that the New Orleans Saints have to give up points in this matchup, 3 ½. The reason being is that the Lakers have to face a very tough Trail Blazer team, in Portland. The last time these two teams played, the Blazers came out victorious, 107-98.

Stats wise, Kobe had himself a poor shooting day (14-37). He still managed to drop 32 points but this was in early January while he wasn’t nursing a bad finger. On the season, Kobe is 4th in the league, averaging almost 28 points a game, and he’ll be lucky to reach that number on Saturday.

Switching over to Super Bowl, the Saints should score at least 35 points on the depleated Colts defense.  That would mean that the Black Mamba would have to at least drain 32 in order for bettors to win some mullah on him.  If you ask me, I just don’t see Kobe putting in 32 against the Trailblazers on the road.

Another little stat nugget that favors the Saints is that Kobe and the Lakers take on the Denver Nuggets on Friday night in the Staples Center before traveling to Portland on Saturday to face the Trailblazers.
I have to give up the points and go with the Saints again.

Pick:  Saints at -3 ½ -120

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Super Bowl 44 Prop Betting – New Orleans vs. Kobe and Shaq Point Total

February 5, 2010

Super Bowl Cross-Sports Prop Betting:

The Super Bowl is more than just a football game. It’s a chance for us gambling nuts to get down on more unique prop bets than we could ever imagine. Honestly, who sits down and comes up with all these? The guys at BetOnline, that’s who.

This year, BetOnline is offering up a record number of props, ranging from the coin toss to what color the Gatorade that gets dumped on the winning coach is going to be.

Some of my favorite props involve cross sports action. After studying all of the cross-sports prop bets in the sportsbook, I’ve come to the conclusion that this is one of the best one to wager on.

** The Super Bowl is on February 7 th. Shaq and Kobe play on February 6 th.

Who Will Have More February 6 th 2010?

Shaquille O’Neal + Kobe Bryant Points +2 ½ -120

New Orleans Saints -2 ½ -120

This cross-sports prop bet is actually tougher to handicap then the other two. Okay, the Saints should score at least 35. What’s Kobe’s average? Kobe puts in 28.3 on average per game.

How about Shaq? Shaq averages 11.7. If both Kobe and Shaq hit their averages then the total points scored would be 40. That’s above 35. But will Kobe Bryant and Shaq hit their averages?

Is there something to preclude Kobe from putting up 28.3 points, like his average, against the Portland Trailblazers on Saturday? Yes.

The Kobester will be playing in his 2 nd game in 2 days against a tough Western Conference opponent, the Portland Trail Blazers. What about Shaquille O´Neal? The last time Cleveland played against the Knicks, Shaq pitched in only 7 points, but that was an off night for the Big Diesel. Even if we stay on the safe side and say that Shaq scores 10 points and Kobe scores 25 and we take Shaq and Kobe at +2 ½, the Saints will have to score 38 points for us to lose this bet.

I like the New Orleans to score a bunch of points, but that’s asking a little much. Consider that Kobe has the ability to drop 50 on any given night, and Shaq seems to show up on the big stage, and there is none bigger than MSG, take the duo of Kobe and Shaq to put up enough point to cover the Saints.

Pick: Shaq and Kobe at -2 ½ -120

Super Bowl 44 Betting – Saints, Saints, Saints!

February 4, 2010

Super Bowl 44: Consider Betting These Other ATS Lines

Game-day: 2/7/2010

Kick-off: 6:25 pm EST

I love the New Orleans Saints in Super Bowl 44. I’ve laid out the reasons almost ad nauseam since the Saints beat the Minnesota Vikings in the NFC Championship Game. But, just as a refresher, and before we get to the nitty gritty involving some of the other ATS lines in the mother of all sports gambling games, here are the reasons yet again why I like the New Orleans Saints:

New Orleans has the 6th ranked rushing attack in the NFL. The Colts have the 32nd ranked rushing attack in the NFL.

The Saints have outscored their opponents in the game after their 2 bye weeks this season 93 to 41. The Colts have outscored their opponents in the game after their 2 bye weeks this season 66 to 9, but the team they played after their regular season bye week was the St. Louis Rams. So, I don’t count that game.

The New Orleans Saints’ defense picked the ball off 26 times during the regular season. The Indianapolis Colts picked the ball off 16 times during the regular season.

Now we can get down to what’s really important in this article, which other ATS betting lines will I be wagering on and how much will I be wagering?

Sign up HERE to start betting on SAINTS!

First, the bankroll please! $160. That’s the amount of money that I will be wagering on the other three ATS lines below. Check out how much I will be wagering on each bet.

Bet #1: New Orleans -7 ½ +500 = $50

Bet #2: New Orleans -10 ½ +700 = $50

Bet #3: New Orleans +3 ½ +120 = $60

Bet #1 Reasoning: A $250 profit off of a $50 investment is very, very nice. If the Saints beat the Colts by at least 8 points, then I get $250 and my initial investment of $50 back. That’s $300. If I miss the -10 ½ point wager, then I’ve still made a profit of $190 bucks. $50 investment on Bet #2 and $60 investment on Bet #3 equals $110. $300 – $110 equals a profit of $190. Not bad.

Bet #2 Reasoning: If I hit the Saints -10 ½ at +700 over the Colts in Super Bowl 44, then it will mean that I have also hit the Saints at -7 ½ +500. My $50 investment would yield $350 in this case. So, $350 + $250 = $600. Don’t forget that I get my investment back. So, that’s another $100. I’m up to $700. What will I have lost in this scenario? $60 on my saver bet.

Bet #3 Reasoning: By saver bet, I mean a wager that I hope to lose but should I win would will cut my overall loses. I truly, truly believe in the Saints this Sunday. So, there’s no need for me to take more than 3 ½ points. That’s a field goal, which is what I believe the Colts will win by if they do win Super Bowl 44. If I win the saver bet, I cash out with $72 in profit and $60 in my initial investment. So, my total cash out in this scenario would be $132. I would lose $28 overall of my total $160 investment in this scenario.

Any loss isn’t fun, but losing $28 isn’t nearly as bad as losing $160. Hence, the saver bet! This is how I’m going to bet the other ATS lines for Super Bowl 44. Sports gamblers who like the Colts would just need to find different ATS lines for Indy that could produce the same type of results.

The Super Bowl is almost here! Log onto the sportsbook and bet Super Bowl 44!

Super Bowl 44: Odds on how many fans will be ejected from the game

February 4, 2010

The New Orleans Saints fans are known for their hard partying ways, every year New Orleans hosts the biggest party in the US with Mardi gras. The Saints know a little bit about a good time, word of advice to the bar owners of New Orleans, order more beer.

To the women of Miami, if a Who Dat tailgater offers you a chance to pinch the tail and suck the head, don’t punch him, he’s only offering you some crawfish.

The Super Bowl is so important to New Orleans that the Catholic Church is rescheduling Sunday mass to accommodate the game; you see in New Orleans, God is a Saints fan.

BetOnline.com has some Super Bowl odds about the fans, have a look.

The number of fans ejected from the game.

Over 1
Under 1

The Raiders aren’t playing this Sunday, it’s a safe bet we won’t see anyone kicked out unless Kim Kardashian’s stalker decides to show up.

Will a fan run out on the field?

Yes 3/1

Will a fan streak the field?

Yes 5/1

I don’t see it happening, it has happened though, during the Patriots-Panthers Super Bowl a streaker with an advertisement for an unnamed casino on his back made it onto the field but after a Panthers DB smoked him, there haven’t been to many people willing to risk their teeth and ribs for a chance at infamy.

Despite the drinking, gambling, and carrying on, the Saints fans are not a troublesome bunch they know after a big win, you dance on cars and not flip them over, Raiders fans I’m looking in your direction. If the Saints upset the Super Bowl odds and win Super Bowl XLIV, you can be assured that if the Saints win the Super Bowl, there will be Who Dat fans will line I-95 from Miami to New Orleans yell Who Dat!

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Steven Jackson Beats Pregnant Girls and Rey Maualuga Busted Driving Drunk

January 30, 2010

What is going on with athletes lately? First Tiger is busted with a bazillion girls and his whole reputation is tarnished before the eyes of the world. Gilbert Arenas and Javaris Crittenton were just busted for bringing guns to the locker room to solve a dispute over a gambling debt and now news has just broke that Steven Jackson was beating his pregnant wife and Rey Maualuga has just been arrested for driving under the influence.

Wake up people! Holy hell, where are all the role models in sports anymore.

Everyone has been beaten to death in the sports pages about the first two incidents I mentioned, but we’re just learning about Jackson and Maualuga’s unfortunate slip ups.

In the case of Steven Jackson, he’s been accused of beating his former girlfriend, Supriya Harris, when she was nine months pregnant. Jackson’s not a doctor so he can’t really claim he was trying to induce birth. But if he’s found guilty of this, I don’t know what looks worse than beating the mother of your child who is due any moment.

It’s rumored that his young nephew had to jump in between the two to stop the incident from continuing. In the statement given to police, Harris alleges Jackson became enraged during an argument and repeatedly pushed her to the ground before he grabbed her arm and slammed her against a door.

Rams head coach Steve Spagnuolo released a statement Thursday.

"We are aware of the situation involving Steven Jackson," said Spagnuolo. "We are in the process of gathering information. We are always concerned with issues involving our players."

In the report, Harris clamed she was bleeding heavily and eventually went to a hospital with Jackson. Harris says in the report their son was born nine days later, and that she left Jackson four months later, as he allegedly made threats of physical harm.

After the season the Rams just endured, they definitely did not need this.

Now onto the case of Rey Maualuga, who has been arrested for drunk driving after crashing his car in northern Kentucky. Maualuga was arrested at 3:11 a.m. EST today and charged with operating a vehicle under the influence and with careless driving, according to Kenton County Jail records. According to the police report, Rey admitted to the police officers that he had "about six Captain and Coke drinks" earlier in the night. The report also states that Rey blew a .157 on the breathalyzer, which is nearly twice the legal limit.

There isn’t much more information available other than he’s being held without bond and no attorney has yet been listed for him. Just to update, he’s most likely sitting in a dingy holding cell with his face in his hands hoping the media hasn’t gotten hold of this one yet.

Sorry Rey, you’re busted.

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Super Bowl 44 Betting – Breaking Down the Defensive Lines

January 27, 2010

Both the New Orleans Saints’ and Indianapolis Colts’ defenses believe that pressure on the quarterback is the key to success.  Both defenses are also led by terrific defensive ends, the Colts’ Dwight Freeney and the Saints’ Will Smith, in their quest to put opposing gunslingers onto their backs.

Judging which team will bring the most effective defensive line and linebackers into the Super Bowl will go a long way in deciding the your best Super Bowl XLIV 2010 Betting angle.  

The front seven unit will not only need pressure the quarterback but also stop the opposing team’s running game.  This group of defensive linemen and linebackers will also be looked at to force turnovers and make big plays on third downs.

The biggest question to answer will be, is there one front seven unit that is so significantly better than the other that it will change the outcome of your Super Bowl betting selection?

I’ll try to answer those questions.

Super Bowl: Defensive Lines & Linebackers

New Orleans Saints:  Front Seven

The most important stat in regards to a team’s front seven is sacks.  It tells us that a team can get to the quarterback and that they can put the quarterback onto the ground.  However, pressuring the quarterback without sacks can be just as important. Defensive end Will Smith for New Orleans Saints had 13 sacks during the regular season.  A lot of that had to do with the fact that teams found it difficult to double-team Smith because on the other end was Charles Grant.  Grant was hurt in the Saints’ final regular season game against the Carolina Panthers.  He has since been placed on injured reserve.

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Without Grant at the other end, Smith’s effectiveness during the playoffs has waned.  He’s been double-teamed often and has found it difficult to get to the quarterback.   Knowing this, the Saints’ coaching staff used stunts with their interior linemen and their safeties and linebackers off of the edge in order to get to Brett Favre in the NFC Championship game.  Favre did a good job escaping sacks but he did end up hurrying a couple of throws that led to two interceptions.

Favre’s two interceptions were a key reason the Saints won the game.  The Vikings were in a position to score both times before Favre tossed the picks.   The Saints are +6 in the turnover department this post-season.  As important as it is to sack the quarterback, New Orleans’ game plan, since Grant went down, has been to force quarterbacks into making bad decisions.  It worked like a charm in the NFC Championship Game. 

Causing a quarterback to make bad decisions with pressure, however, isn’t the only skill that the Saints’ front seven has.  The Saints’ starting linebackers, Scott Shanle, Scott Fujita and Jonathan Vilma, are exceptionally fast.  This is especially true in regards to Jonathan Vilma who often times will cover either the opposing team’s best running back out of the backfield or the opposing team’s tight end.  This is a significant point to make as the Colts, no doubt, will be looking to free up Dallas Clark down the middle.

How will Vilma do covering Clark?  It all depends on Vilma’s reaction to the play-action fake.  Because the Saints’ rush defense is terrible, Vilma often times will bite on the play-action fake.  The Saints have allowed 266 yards to be rushed against them in the post-season.  Wouldn’t you bite on the fake in the Super Bowl if you were Jonathan Vilma?  Luckily for Vilma and New Orleans, the Colts are ranked 31st in the league in rushing.  The Saints may try to stop the Colts rush without bringing up a safety.  That could be a gamble that could lead to disaster depending on how the Colts react to it.

Indianapolis Colts:  Front Seven

The Colts’ front seven is led by defensive end Dwight Freeney.  Freeney had 13 ½ sacks during the regular season.  He hasn’t recorded a sack during the post-season, but that could be because like Smith with the Saints, Freeney has been facing double-teams.

Unlike the Saints, however, the Indianapolis Colts have a guy on the other end in Gary Brackett who can pick up the slack.  Brackett only has a single sack during the post-season but he does have 13 combined total tackles.  That’s one of the reasons the Colts have only allowed 173 rushing yards against them.   Brackett, along with outside linebacker Clint Sessions and fellow D-lineman Daniel Muir, have combined for 36 tackles in 2 games.  That’s more than a quarter of all of the Colts’ tackles in the post-season.

But there is a flip side to the Colts’ terrific ability to stop the run.  With Brackett, Sessions and Muir concentrating on stopping the run, teams have been able to pass against them.  The Colts’ have allowed 485 passing yards against them in the post-season and a 7.4 average.  That’s significantly lower than what the Saints allowed but the Saints played against Kurt Warner and Brett Favre while the Colts played against Mark Sanchez and Baltimore’s Joe Flacco.

Why is that significant?  Because the Colts are only +3 in the turnover department and would be +1 if two turnovers that the Ravens had caused hadn’t been wiped out because of penalties.  The lack of turnovers and the fact that the Colts front seven has produced only 1 sack in the post-season means that they didn’t pressure the quarterback very well in their two playoff victories.

Edge:  New Orleans Saints

The Saints may give up a lot of yards but they make up for it by causing turnovers.  It’s a gambling philosophy that has worked well for them so far in the playoffs.  The Colts didn’t sack or pressure Flacco or Sanchez all that well.  Now their front seven must face Drew Brees and the Saints while the Saints’ front seven has every right to feel confident based on the fact that the Ravens caused Peyton Manning to toss 1 legitimate interception and 2 that were overturned.

Significant Enough Edge to Warrant a Wager?  Maybe, the key is to predict whether or not the Saints’ gambling philosophy with their linebackers and defensive line will cause turnovers.  If sports gamblers believe that it will, then, absolutely the Saints’ deserve to be bet at +5 ½ but if not, then it makes sense to look for more significant differences between these two teams before making a wager.

Keep checking back in the BetOnline Locker Room for more terrific analysis, all there to help you make the best Super Bowl 44 betting decision!

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