Vick, Favre and Brady Could Impact Super Bowl Odds

The drama involving both Brett Favre and Michael Vick could seriously impact the odds in the BetOnline online sportsbook futures section. The return of Tom Brady also should have a huge impact on the betting odds regarding the current Super Bowl favorite, the New England Patriots.

The truth is that some teams would be hugely impacted, odds wise, by signing Brett Favre or Michael Vick. Brady’s healthy would dramatically impact the odds on practically ever other favorite in the AFC.

Let’s take a look at all three quarterbacks in regards to certain teams’ Super Bowl winning chances.

Brett Favre Impact

** Minnesota is the only team considering signing Brett Favre.

Minnesota Vikings +1800 – - There is only one team that is in the running for Favre’s services and that’s the Minnesota Vikings. Here’s the thing, if Favre does end up in Minnesota, then the Vikings’ odds should drop. Why? Because they will no doubt be a better team with Favre than they would be without him. Their other two quarterbacks just don’t compare and Favre no doubt would increase the chances of the Vikings winning a Super Bowl. With Favre throwing to Adrian Peterson out of the backfield and Bernard Berrian on the edge, the Vikings could be scary, but Coach Brad Childress has to be very careful about overworking Favre and Favre will have to absolutely take his clues from Childress. Childress has a brilliant offensive mind. This could work.

Prediction? I’m betting that Favre does end up with the Vikings. So, I’m going to say that betting Minnesota at 18 to 1 right now would be a very good wager.

Michael Vick Impact

** Three teams could be impacted should they sign Michael Vick.

New Orleans +2200 – - This is the one team in the NFL that makes sense to give Michael Vick a shot. He stays in the South where he’s comfortable and he’ll be playing in front of fans that no doubt will open their arms for him. He gets to sit behind a proven starter in Drew Brees and offensive guru Sean Payton no doubt will find a way to use Vick in the goofy Wildcat Offense that Bill Parcells created in Miami last year. This is the team that would use Vick’s abilities like no other. Reggie Bush and Michael Vick together in the backfield? Really? Are you kidding me? Now, as far as winning a Super Bowl, how would it impact bettors? Big time! The fact that New Orleans should have a better defense with Gregg Williams at the helm and they already have one of the best offenses without Vick means that they become good enough to win a Super Bowl with Vick.

Prediction? This team drops to roughly +1000 to +1400 after signing Vick. Again, Vick and Bush in the backfield…

New England Patriots +550 – - The truth is that nobody knows if Tom Brady is healthy enough to play quarterback at the same level he was playing it at two years ago. That means that Michael Vick becomes big time insurance. He’ll keep the Patriots’ odds in the sportsbook steady, but I doubt he’ll be enough of a factor to lower them. That’s going to depend on Brady. The key with the Patriots is that they will use Vick creatively the way that the Dolphins use Ronnie Brown. Vick could make for an excellent scat back and the Patriots no doubt would like to keep their offense explosive considering Brady’s health. Vick would have an impact, but it wouldn’t be as great as some might think.

San Francisco 49’ers +5000 - – The 49’ers are only missing one thing – - a real quarterback. Guess what? I’m going to believe that Shaun Hill can do what Coach Mike Singletary needs out of him and that the 49’ers can be a decent team with him at quarterback. So, if Vick adds the scatback/wildcat dimension to the 49’ers offensive game, they become pretty good with Frank Gore at running back, right? Add the fact that their defense is decent to good and all of a sudden a 50 to 1 shot is no worse than 30 to 1 in my eyes.

Tom Brady’s Impact

** Tom Brady’s health could seriously impact two teams in the AFC East Division.

New England Patriots +550 – - If Brady is healthy, then the odds on this team drop from 5 ½ to 1 to no better than 3 ½ to 1 in the sportsbook. Everybody believes that the Patriots should win the Super Bowl as it is. With a healthy Brady, they become the undisputed favorites to get another Super Bowl victory. Now, if Brady doesn’t come back the same, then what happens to them? Well, they already lost Matt Cassell and really nobody else on the squad looks capable of helping them win games. I see them floating up to around 20 to 25 to 1.

Miami Dolphins +4500 - – The Dolphins schedule should be their undoing but with an unhealthy Brady, they suddenly can put two more victories into their win column. We also have to remember that they won the AFC East, okay? So what if their outside schedule is tougher. They’re still a very good team. Considering the fact that they aren’t getting any respect as it is, they could go down to 30 to 1 if Brady comes up limping during the pre-season or stay right around 45 to 1 . They’re a good bet either way in my opinion because they should be better than they were last year which most likely will offset the tougher schedule.