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Zambrano takes the Bump – Cubs at Diamondbacks

April 28, 2009

D-Backs Look To Take Down Cubs, Struggling Zambrano – Chicago at Arizona

The Chicago Cubs (9-9 SU, 8-10 RL, 9-7-2 O/U) will try to get back in the win column in the BetOnline Sportsbook tonight after getting spanked by the Arizona Diamondbacks (8-11 SU, 7-12 RL, 8-10-1 O/U) in Monday’s 7-2 road loss.

The Cubs and D-Backs will square off at 9:30 PM ET at Chase Field.

Veteran right-hander Dan Haren tossed a complete game to earn the victory as the on Monday night, helping Arizona cash in for BetOnline MLB sports betting backers as -150 home favorites while the final score played Over the 8.5-run total.

Haren drove in two runs for the Diamondbacks, while Chris Young went 2-for-5 with two RBI for Arizona.

Tonight, the Cubs will hand the ball to ace right-hander Carlos Zambrano (1-1, 4.85 ERA) while the Diamondbacks counter with right-hander Yusmeiro Petit (0-1, 4.50 ERA).

Zambrano allowed four runs – three earned – on seven hits while striking out seven batters in seven innings of a 7-1 loss to Cincinnati on Thursday. The mediocre outing followed another poor start in which he allowed seven runs in seven innings of an 8-7 win over St. Louis on April 17.

Arizona’s Yusmeiro Petit (0-1, 6.00) makes his third start while replacing injured staff ace Brandon Webb.

Petit allowed two earned runs on eight hits in five innings but didn’t record a decision in Arizona’s 9-6 loss to Colorado last Tuesday.

Here is a look at tonight’s key MLB trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and MLB Free Pick.

The Cubs are 4-0 in Zambrano’s last 4 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

The Cubs are 8-1 in Zambrano’s last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.

The Diamondbacks are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Diamondbacks are 5-11 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series.

The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona.

The Cubs are 9-19 in the last 28 meetings.

The Cubs are 8-28 in the last 36 meetings in Arizona.

MLB Odds

Chicago Cubs -1½ +130

Carlos Zambrano –R -125

Arizona Diamondbacks +1½ -150

Yusmeiro Petit –R +105

Over 9 -120

Under 9 Ev

Analysis: While Chicago’s Carlos Zambrano has struggled in each of his last two starts, I like the Cubbies to win this contest and cover the Run Line by smacking around D-Backs starter Yusmeiro Petit who has given up at least two earned runs in each outing this season and a total of eight earned runs over his last three outings covering 12 innings.

Take the Cubs and the Over BetOnline MLB sports betting enthusiasts.

MLB Free Picks: Cubs -1½ Runs/Over 9 Total Runs

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